Friday, March 01, 2019

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 2,801.53 +.35%

 
























The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 26,015.39 -.03%
  • NASDAQ 7,589.36 +.88%
  • Russell 2000 1,588.96 -.08%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 41.79 +.38%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 166.62 +2.09%
  • Wilshire 5000 28,993.46 +.30%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,492.59 +.66%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,215.68 +.04%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 557.77 -.57%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,051.91 +.62%
  • NYSE Technology 1,825.77 +.59%
  • Transports 10,463.10 -1.23%
  • Utilities 756.68 -.03%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 78.88 +3.86%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.64 -.74%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,211.85 +.12%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 961.58 -.61%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 341,258 +.28%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 105 -33
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 51.85 +11.89%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 288,214 -10.38%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,077,398 +.99%
  • Total Put/Call .89 +15.58%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.61 +373.50%
  • ISE Sentiment 123.0 -18.54%
  • NYSE Arms 1.20 -12.95%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.59 +8.29%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.15 +5.25%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.69 -5.49%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.25 -4.06%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,815.36 -.69%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $3.079 Trillion +.22%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$.965 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 41.6 +5.9%
  • AAII % Bears 20.0 -21.2%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 181.50 -1.61%
  • Crude Oil 55.72 -2.37%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 172.60 -2.47%
  • Natural Gas 2.85 +5.56%
  • Heating Oil 199.91 -2.14%
  • Gold 1,294.80 -2.08%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 191.69 +1.55%
  • Copper 292.65 -.39%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 320.50 USD/Metric Tonne unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 95.0 USD/Metric Tonne +17.7%
  • Lumber 382.40 -4.08%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 908.23 -3.43%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +.34% -108.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -4.20% +50.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 25.0% unch.
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.2757 +5.09%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 183.89 +100.8%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 171.26 +.09%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -43.40 -20.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -61.60 +2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.80 -10.8 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 99.2% chance of no change, 0.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 3/20
  • US Dollar Index 96.47 -.12%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,648.0 +.13%
  • Bitcoin/USD 3,834.56 -2.85%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.20 +1.44%
  • Yield Curve 19.50 +3.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.74% +9.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $3.935 Trillion -.19%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.34 +.76%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 194.84 -.02%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 255.0 -20.25 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 48.44 -6.08%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 48.34 -13.62%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 60.18 +.84%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.41 -6.33%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 130.02 -5.17%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 158.66 +.25%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.95% +3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.0 -2.75 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.75 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.25 -4.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 59.30 -2.87%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 508.0 -6.01%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 75.04 -8.63%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 167.98 -1.71%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 180.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $3.752 Trillion -.73%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,070.50 +.90%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 229,000 -6,750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% +10.0 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.35% unch.
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 384.80 +5.3%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 61.0 +1.4 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +5.1% +10.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.42/gallon +.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 630.0 +3.79%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 850.47 -3.22%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 +9.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 265,676 -2.92%
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +.2%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value -1.7%
Leading Sectors
  • Education +3.6%
  • Biotech +3.1%
  • Coal +2.6%
  • Retail +2.0%
  • Video Gaming +1.8%
Lagging Sectors
  • Steel -2.7% 
  • Gaming -3.0%
  • Healthcare Providers -3.9%
  • Gold & Silver -4.6%%
  • Homebuilders -5.6%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (39)
  • PBYI, FTCH, ZS, GPS, APLS, EDIT, THNA, SGMO, FOLD, CORE, PTLA, BOLD, AMC, BE, NTLA, SE, FNKO, LYV, CBAY, TNDM, ICPT, GH, RARE, EB, MBI, SLDB, MYOK, RDUS, QTWO, GTN, NVCR, NSTG, NXST, SSP, VMW, ELAN, SSTK, NLSN and BPMC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (13)
  • OLN, CLNC, ATSG, CASH, BNFT, RPT, EBIX, WSR, TPIC, SNH, PEGI, WIFI and NTNX
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings Outlooks, Yen Weakness, Technical Buying, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.8 -6.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.22 +.47%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.31 +.48%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.19 -2.8%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 131.0 +31.0%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -4.26%
  • NYSE Arms 1.21 +6.14%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.15 -1.54%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 508.0 +.38%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.72 +2.48%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 255.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 69.12 -1.46%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 167.96 +1.65%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 158.66 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.25 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.97 -.36%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.43% unch.
  • Yield Curve 19.75 -.5 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 84.0 USD/Metric Tonne +3.6%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -43.40 -13.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -61.60 -2.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.8 -4.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96 +2.0 basis points
  • 2.1% chance of Fed rate hike at May 1st meeting, 2.0% chance at June 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +143 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +91 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +27 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/industrial/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Mid-Cap Value +.3%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Gold & Silver -1.1% 2) Steel -1.1% 3) REITs -.7%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • NTNX, BNFT, WUBA, WES, UVE, DDD, ALRM, GMLP, WSR, CARG, EBIX, TSLA, SNH, WIFI, SQM, WDAY, ATSG, UPWK and NKTR
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) GPS 2) AET 3) IMGN 4) NTNX 5) DELL
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) NTNX 2) XON 3) MAXR 4) WUBA 5) WBA
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth +1.0%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Education +4.4% 2) Biotech +1.8% 3) Medical Equipment +1.6%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • FNKO, FTCH, GPS, PBYI, HABT, VFF, ELAN, ZS, AMC, FL, XRAY, LLY, TGNA, SRCL, BIO, ASTE, CAI, GH, NVTR, PTLA, LYV, ACHC, SSP, SKY, BKNG, APLS, EDIT, FOLD, STAA, NTLA, BE, WTW, MAS, MTZ, LB, OSTK, TNDM, ICPT, EE, RDUS, SE, SKY, GTN, EB, NIO, SIEN, BPMC, PS, RUN, NLSN, VMW and SSTK
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) GPS 2) NLSN 3) NTNX 4) FL 5) SPLK
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) PBYI 2) FTCH 3) GPS 4) ZS 5) VMW
Charts:

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index: