North American Investment Grade CDS Index 92.84 bps +.01%
European Financial Sector CDS Index 129.28 bps +5.17%
Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 177.50 bps -1.84%
Emerging Market CDS Index 210.70 bps -4.09%
2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 -2 bps
TED Spread 17.0 +1 bp
Economic Gauges:
3-Month T-Bill Yield .13% -2 bps
Yield Curve 253.0 +8 bp
China Import Iron Ore Spot $167.80/Metric Tonne unch.
Citi US Economic Surprise Index -9.60 -30.2 points
10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20% +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
Nikkei Futures: Indicating -8 open in Japan
DAX Futures: Indicating +12 open in Germany
Portfolio:
Higher: On gains in my Biotech, Medical, Ag and Technology long positions
Disclosed Trades: None
Market Exposure: 100% Net Long
BOTTOM LINE: Today's overall market action is mildly bullish as the S&P 500 trades near session highs despite a disappointing jobs report and recent gains. On the positive side, Education, Road & Rail, Gaming, Semi, Software, Gold, Ag, Oil Service, Alt Energy and Coal shares are especially strong, rising more than 1.0%. Cyclical and Small-Cap shares are outperforming. (XLF), which opened on the weak side, is heading into positive territory now. The Transports continue to trade well. Copper is rising +.35% and the S&P GSCI Ag Spot Index is jumping +3.19%. The Italy sovereign cds is dropping -2.89% to 211.23 bps, the Portugal sovereign cds is falling -3.91% to 425.45 bps and the UK sovereign cds is falling -8.43% to 67.56 bps. Moreover, the US Muni CDS Index is dropping -3.4% to 182.57 bps. On the negative side, Retail shares are under mild pressure. Today's overall market action is more positive than the major averages would suggest as I continue to see a number of small/mid-cap stocks experiencing technical breakouts on decent volume. I expect US stocks to trade mixed-to-higher into the close from current levels on falling eurozone sovereign debt angst, seasonal strength, investment manager performance angst, short-covering, less financial sector pessimism and technical buying.
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