
The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
*5-Day Change
Indices
- Russell 2000 1,217.52 -1.29%
- S&P 500 High Beta 34.49 -1.57%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 136.72 -.83%
- Wilshire 5000 21,643.89 -1.48%
- Russell 1000 Growth 994.21 -1.30%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,012.85 -1.74%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 500.41 -2.61%
- Solactive US Cyclical 139.76 -2.01%
- Morgan Stanley Technology 1,036.06 -1.70%
- Transports 8,907.41 -1.30%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 113.74 +.91%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.80 -2.22%
- HFRX Equity Hedge 1,200.61 +.08%
- HFRX Equity Market Neutral 991.73 +.16%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 237,538 -.11%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -16 -205
- Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 26.47 unch.
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 262,289 -2.80%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,687,908 -.44%
- Total Put/Call 1.28 +29.29%
- OEX Put/Call 1.82 +37.88%
- ISE Sentiment 41.0 -64.04%
- Volatility(VIX) 15.22 +15.44%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.76 +.21%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 9.69 +6.48%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.38 +4.74%
- Smart Money Flow Index 17,900.62 +.28%
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.672 Trillion -.69%
- ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow +$.072 Billion
- AAII % Bulls 39.8 -12.3%
- AAII % Bears 23.4 +15.1%
Futures Spot Prices
- Reformulated Gasoline 188.02 -4.85%
- Heating Oil 186.84 -14.42%
- Bloomberg Base Metals Index 169.69 -.49%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 226.67 USD/Ton unch.
- China Iron Ore Spot 59.49 USD/Ton -4.91%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,135.88 -3.20%
Economy
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -4.6% -10 basis points
- Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1379 -5.75%
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 122.21 +.11%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -47.5 -.8 point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 49.30 -1.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.90 +1.4 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 48.0% chance of no change, 52.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 3/18
- US Dollar Index 97.70 +2.53%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.77 -2.18%
- Yield Curve 152.0 +15.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.24% +25.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.449 Trillion +.03%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.54 +.24%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 179.0 +.23%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 21.50 -4.51%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 61.99 +3.87%
- Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 350.10 -.09%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 72.50 +.35%
- Iraq Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 336.56 +.29%
- Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 453.84 -5.35%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 114.17 -.22%
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.83% unch.
- TED Spread 25.75 +.5 basis point
- 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 +1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.25 -1.5 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.50 unch.
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 691.0 +6.0%
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 54.45 +.28%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 390.28 +3.96%
- CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 85.0 unch.
- M1 Money Supply $2.990 Trillion +.13%
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 998.60 -2.70%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 304,750 +10,250
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.8% unch.
- Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.75% -5 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 420.70 +.10%
- Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 43.5 +.8 point
- Weekly Retail Sales +2.70% unch.
- Nationwide Gas $2.46/gallon +.09/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 561.0 +3.90%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,064.23 -1.11%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.50 -8.33%
- Rail Freight Carloads 241,598 +13.1%
Best Performing Style
Worst Performing Style
Leading Sectors
Lagging Sectors
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (37)
- EYES, OHRP, VSLR, PEIX, LEAF, OMER, DVAX, HRTX, DGI, CLDN, W, PCYC, AIRM, DTSI, KYTH, BIO, FIX, MVNR, MNST, INSM, AEO, FSL, AMBA, PMC, FCB, TNDM, NTRI, HZNP, MEI, IBP, ARUN, HPTX, XENT, HRTG, TSE, WMC and SWHC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (37)
- INSY, NRF, CALD, TRK, SCMP, HTGC, PRAA, SPLK, GSIG, SQBK, SMTC, AMED, EVDY, TNET, IM, JOY, CECE, GEF, AAC, WMAR, PEGA, TPC, NSR, PCRX, BOBE, ANF, CENX, CORE, PRIM, CALA, VEEV, CDI, EGL, TUBE, OPWR, LL and ENOC
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
- Volume: Slightly Below Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 15.59 +11.04%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.91 -1.07%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.38 +2.57%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.37 +6.41%
- ISE Sentiment Index 59.0 +63.9%
- Total Put/Call 1.22 +28.42%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.77 +2.75%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 690.0 +.65%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 54.44 +3.27%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.39 -5.14%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.01 +1.65%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 389.84 +1.06%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 114.17 +.12%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 unch.
- TED Spread 25.75 -.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.25 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
- Yield Curve 152.0 +5.0 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.49/Metric Tonne -.40%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -47.50 +7.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 49.3 -.2 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.90 unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.84 unch.
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating -130 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating -35 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
- Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long
Bloomberg:
- Greece Gears Up for Euro-Area Talks as Cash Crunch Looms. Greece’s creditors are assessing proposals
including hiring non-professional inspectors to clamp down on
tax evasion as the government attempts to unlock bailout funds
necessary to keep the country afloat. Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’s administration sent a set
of commitments Friday to Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen
Dijsselbloem, who chairs meetings of his euro-area counterparts,
in the hope that the policy proposals will pave the way for the
disbursement of aid.
- Greek Loan Payout Hinges on Review of Reforms, EU Says. The institutions overseeing the Greek
bailout program will need to scrutinize the probable impact of
the government’s latest reform proposals before the country can
receive another loan payout, a senior EU official said. The European Commission, the European Central Bank and the
International Monetary Fund -- together formerly known as the
troika -- must assess the overall balance of the measures
proposed by the government in Athens and this will not happen
before euro-area finance ministers meet in Brussels on March 9.
- Putin Cuts His Salary 10% as Russian Living Standards Decline. Russian President Vladimir Putin cut his
salary, and that of his prime minister and other government
employees, by 10 percent as the economy slides into the first
recession in five years, eroding citizens’ living standards. Putin, 62, ordered the wage reductions from May 1 to the
end of the year, according to decrees posted Friday on the
government website. Putin increased his and Prime Minister
Dmitry Medvedev’s salaries by 165 percent in April last year.
The president declared income of 3.7 million rubles ($60,000) in
2013, and Medvedev 4.3 million rubles.
- Putin Takes a Pay Cut as Approval Rating Rises to 85%. (video)
- China Said to Slash Senior Executive Pay at Top Banks, SOEs. China cut pay for top executives at its
biggest banks and some other state-owned companies as part of
efforts to combat inequality, said people with knowledge of the
matter. Senior managers at the nation’s five largest lenders -- all
of which are government-controlled -- had their total
compensation for this year cut to no more than about 600,000
yuan ($95,800), said the people, who asked not to be named
discussing private information. Industrial & Commercial Bank of
China Ltd. Chairman Jiang Jianqing earned about 2 million yuan
in 2013.
- Dollar Climbs Most Since 2011 as Job Gains Fuel Fed Speculation. The dollar rallied the most in more than
three years after a report showing strength in the U.S. labor
market bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to raise
interest rates as global peers embrace monetary stimulus. The greenback rose against most major counterparts as U.S.
employers added more jobs than forecast and the unemployment
rate fell to the lowest since 2008. Traders boosted wagers on a
rate rise by September. While the Fed has said it will be
“patient” on increasing borrowing costs, Chair Janet Yellen
said last week timing will depend on economic data.
- Emerging Currencies Weaken, Stocks Decline on U.S. Rate Concern. Emerging-market currencies weakened for a
seventh day and stocks slid as a bigger-than-forecast increase
in U.S. payrolls stoked speculation the Federal Reserve will
raise interest rates sooner, damping demand for riskier assets. A gauge tracking 20 developing-country currencies slid 0.7
percent to a record low as Brazil’s real dropped 1.8 percent to
the lowest level since 2004 and peers in South Africa and Mexico
lost at least 1.6 percent. Emerging-market stocks headed for a
three-week low.
- European Stocks Little Changed as Investors Weigh U.S. Jobs Data. European stocks were little changed at a
seven-year high as investors considered whether a strengthening
U.S. economy will bring forward a rate-increase decision.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.1 percent to 394.18 at
the close of trading. The benchmark gauge jumped as much as 0.7
percent after data showed U.S. payrolls rose more than estimated
in February, before paring gains.
- Oil Rigs Get Slammed for the 13th Week. (video) The number of U.S. oil rigs out drilling new wells fell for the 13th
straight week as the U.S. sinks deeper in a glut of excess oil. Drillers idled 64 oil rigs (excluding gas rigs), dropping the number
to 922, Baker Hughes reported on Friday. The rig count is down 43
percent since October, an unprecedented retreat. The median forecast
from a Bloomberg survey of 20 #RigCountGuesses on Twitter was for a
decline of 20 rigs.
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC:
- Fed should not be too patient on rate hikes, Williams says. Federal Reserve policymakers should not wait too long to raise
interest rates, a top U.S. central banker said on Thursday, because
doing so could mean "drastically" overshooting on inflation and forcing
the Fed to hike rates dramatically. "I think that by mid-year it will be the time to
have a serious discussion about starting to raise rates," San Francisco
Fed chief John Williams said.
ZeroHedge:
Business Insider:
Reuters:
- Oil falls as dollar spikes on US jobs data and rate hike fears. Oil fell on Friday as the
dollar surged on bets of a near-term rate hike from strong U.S.
jobs growth, offsetting an early run up in crude prices on
worries about Libyan and Iraq supplies. A stronger dollar makes oil, quoted and traded in the
greenback, costlier for holders of the euro and other
currencies. The dollar rocketed to 11-/12 year highs against a
basket of currencies after the U.S. government reported
the U.S. jobless rate fell to 6-1/2 year lows. Benchmark Brent oil was down 44 cents at $60.04 a
barrel by 11:00 a.m. EST (1600 GMT). U.S. light crude
fell 71 cents at $50.05.
Style Underperformer:
Sector Underperformers:
- 1) Gold & Silver -6.93% 2) Utilities -3.25% 3) REITs -2.91%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
- IDCC, WX, NGL, CKP, ELS, ES, DCUC, ASCMA, CRTO, EVHC, UTG, VSLR, LO, LL, DAR, GEF, VLP, CSIQ, LULU, HRTX, MSTR, USLV, DCUB, ITC, ERJ, SKUL, BEE, CHK, RAI, ITC, FOSL, ANDE, DAR and ESL
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
- 1) XLP 2) LEN 3) FXE 4) XLK 5) UTX
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
- 1) LULU 2) GPS 3) XOM 4) BHI 5) HPQ
Charts:
Style Outperformer:
Sector Outperformers:
- 1) Banks +.59% 2) Hospitals +.17% 3) Insurance +.09%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
- CALA, CLDN, LTM, YY, FNSR, DMND, RTRX, COO, FL, EXAS, QIHU, HZNP, GTN, TFM, ESPR, JDSU and AMTD
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
- 1) ETFC 2) FNSR 3) BKD 4) APO 5) TBT
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
- 1) MRVL 2) BRO 3) CIEN 4) IPDN 5) FL
Charts: