NYSE Composite Index:
- Volume Running +20.1% Above 100-Day Average
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.3 -1.1
- 3 Sectors Declining, 8 Sectors Rising
- 70.0% of Issues Advancing, 28.0% Declining
- TRIN/Arms 1.54 +77.0%
- Non-Block Money Flow -$15.3M
- 196 New 52-Week Highs, 28 New Lows
- 64.2% (+4.3%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
- Average 14-Day RSI 66.6 +7.3
Polymarket:- Supreme Court Rules in Favor of Trump's Tariffs? 23.0% -3.0 percentage points
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31st? 21.0% -7.0 percentage points
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? 13.0% +3.0 percentage points
- US strikes Iran by June 30th 32.0% -8.0 percentage points
Other:
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 101.0 unch.
- US High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 424.25 unch.
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 272.54 +2.9%
- Morgan Stanley Growth vs Value Index 160.9 +1.3%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 48.0 (Moved to NEUTRAL from FEAR) +4.0
- 1-Day Vix 7.3 -25.8%
- Vix 14.8 +2.0%
- Total Put/Call .78 -4.9%
Around X:
- Delcy Rodriguez, the acting president of Venezuela, said Sunday evening that she is inviting the US to work with her country after the operation to capture President Nicolas Maduro.
- Marco
Rubio said the US would use an oil quarantine to get what it wants from
Venezuela’s new leaders following the ouster of Nicolas Maduro.
- Venezuelan bonds are poised to gain after the US captured Nicolás Maduro, setting the stage for a potential regime change that investors in $60 billion worth of securities have long been betting on
.
- Emerging-market stocks are on track to hit a record, buoyed by persistent strength in Asian technology shares and a broad rally globally
.
- India’s push for digital IDs has sparked a bonanza for criminals
.
- Saudi Arabian equities fell the most in almost nine months as investors considered the possible fallout of geopolitical tensions in Yemen, Iran and Venezuela.
- France announced plans to prohibit imports of avocados, mangos and other foods from South America that contain pesticides banned for use in the European Union.
- "If we cannot hack them, we rob them." Crypto thieves are pursuing investors at home in brutal attacks and kidnappings.
- As 2026 dawns, here are the key themes that will guide CFOs’ decision making.
- Xreal, an early pioneer in augmented-reality glasses, unveiled an upgraded entry-level pair at CES, where smart eyewear will be a prevailing theme over the coming week.
- A panel of economic luminaries said the long-run risk posed by mounting federal debt represented a paramount problem facing the US economy.
- Here's what you need to know to start your day.
- Get up to speed on what's moving global markets.
- Korybko: Regime-Tweaking, Not Regime-Change, Is What The US Just Achieved In Venezuela.
- For China, the share of US imports and new housing starts are back to where they were at the start of the century. (graph)
- Musk & Trump Grab Dinner After Maduro Arrest.
- BRENT CRUDE FALLS AS MUCH AS 1.2% TO $60 A BARREL.
- CIA & Palace Insiders: How The Surprise Raid On Maduro Went Down.
- BREAKING: Iran enters its 8th night of national protests against the regime, and armed citizens have now taken to the streets. 43% chance the Supreme Leader loses power this year.
- Who Is Delcy Rodríguez, Maduro's Deputy?
- #BREAKING: New York City has officially raised subway fares to $3, effective today directly contradicting Mayor Mamdani’s pledge to make public transit free.
- Had a lovely dinner last night with @POTUS and @FLOTUS. 2026 is going to be amazing!
- “Minneapolis
paid a Somalian restaurant $12 MILLION in federal child meal funds
after it claimed to feed 4,000–6,000 kids a day.” The FBI watched the
restaurant for 6 WEEKS. An average of 40 people showed up. If fraud this obvious still gets approved, corruption is NORMALIZED.
- Operation Absolute Resolve: Why Trump Went Off Script And Why It Will Not Matter.
- Bongino Makes Resignation From FBI Official.
- OPEC+ Reaffirms Output Pause As Eight Producers Cite Market Stability.
- Judge Convicted Of Helping Illegal Escape ICE Resigns, Faces 5 Years In Prison.
- Lombard Odier: The
effects on global markets of the US raid on Venezuela/Maduro capture
are likely be limited, while China’s markets may be more sensitive
because the country is the largest importer of the nation’s oil. US
could gain greater influence on Venezuela’s relations with Beijing, and
market could adjust risk-pricing on China’s energy and materials sectors
because its petrochem capacity is tailored for the import of heavy
crude from Venezuela.
- The Bearish Counterpoint: What Could Go Wrong For Markets In 2026?
- Speaking
earlier today on NBC’s Meet the Press about the operation to capture
Nicolás Maduro, Secretary of State Marco Rubio made comments about
future plans for Latin America. Welker:
“Is the Cuban Government the Trump Administration's next target?”
Rubio: “Well, the Cuban government is a huge problem. Yeah.” Welker: “Is
that a yes?” Rubio: “I think they're in a lot of trouble, yes. I’m
not going to talk to you about what our future steps are going to be and
our policies are going to be right now in this regard. But I don’t
think it’s a mystery that we are not big fans of the Cuban Regime.”
- Cuba, Venezuela, China, And America's Left-Wing Revolution.
- Russia, China Demand That US Immediately Release Maduro From Custody.
- UK Goes Full Cradle-To-Grave With 'Sinister' Plan For Newborn Baby Digital IDs.
- Huh? Read this twice.
- Insider Trading? New Polymarket Account Made 12x Gain On Venezuela Intervention.
- Brexit Architect Blows Lid Off Deep State Plot To Destroy Nigel Farage And Reform UK.
- THE CONTRADICTION OF THE LEFTISTS.
What is happening on social media is a perfect example of progressive
hypocrisy. I see Venezuelans everywhere celebrating the fall of the
narcoterrorist dictator Maduro, but I also see all the communists who
live in Western democracies (which are becoming fewer and fewer) crying
over the undeniable failure of their ideology, which led to a murderous
dictatorship. Progressives say they love democracy, but they cry when a
dictator falls. That paints them in full body. They say they defend the
people, but they hate to see them celebrating their freedom (or what
they don't like).
- The Misinformation Inquisition: How Censorship Shields Approved Narratives From Scrutiny.
- Visualizing All Of The World's Oil Reserves By Country.
- Had bullish commentary on (SCHW) and (JEF).
- Everyone
paying attention yet? The world just changed course. It’s not simply
about energy but also about access and control. 1. The Panama Canal must
be controlled by the United States. 2. The Caribbean and all the key
straits in and out of the Gulf of America must be controlled by the
United States. 3. The financial markets and global wealth must be
controlled by the United States. 4. Access to beachfront property that
Venezuela afforded to China, Russia, Iran, Hamas, Hezbollah, and nasty
drug cartels must be controlled by the United States. Guess what, that just happened without the loss of one Soldier.
- 2020 ELECTION Allegheny & Philadelphia County:
1,823,148 mail-in ballots sent out. 2,589,242 mail-in ballots received
back. 24x USB files transfers into machines by non-election workers. 2.5
million mail-in ballot figure wiped from PA official website 22 days
after election. (video)
- BREAKING:
U.S. District Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein, a Clinton appointee from 1998
who is currently 92 years old, has been assigned to preside over
Nicolás Maduro's case in the Southern District of New York. Hellerstein
refused to move Donald Trump's "hush-money" case from state to federal
court. In May 2025, Hellerstein blocked the Trump administration's use
of the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport alleged Venezuelan gang
members (linked to Tren de Aragua) within the Southern District of New
York. DO YOU THINK HELLERSTEIN WILL LET MADURO WALK?
- This
is absolutely insane: Venezuela currently has 303 billion barrels of
crude oil reserves, which Trump says the US now controls. Oil prices are
trading at ~$57/barrel, making Venezuela's total reserves worth $17.3
TRILLION. Even if the US sells this oil for HALF of the market rate,
that's still $8.7 TRILLION. In other words, in 12 hours, the US has
gained control of oil reserves worth more than the entire GDP of ALL
countries in the world, aside from the US and China. That's 4 TIMES
larger than the GDP of Japan. Most people do not realize how much the
world just changed. Oil markets will react to this news for the first
time on Sunday at 6 PM ET. The next few days will be critical.
- Venezuela
Currently Has: 1. 200 trillion cubic feet of natural gas reserves, 34th
largest in the world. 2. 300 billion barrels of crude oil reserves,
largest in the world. 3. 4 billion tons of iron ore reserves, worth
nearly $600 billion. 4. 8,000+ tons of gold resources, the largest in
Latin America. 5. 500+ million tons of coal reserves. 6. 2% of the
world’s total renewable freshwater resources. 7. Untapped strategic
minerals including nickel, copper, and phosphates. Venezuela is now a “strategic” US asset.
- I
crunched the data. Again. I made a map. Again. The picture is now even
CLEANER. States without voter ID requirements are 16x more likely to
offer welfare benefits to illegal immigrants than states requiring ID
(67% vs 4%, p<0.0001). Dems are importing and paying illegals for votes. Details. (map)
- MIC
DROP MOMENT!! Marco Rubio just said what MILLIONS of Americans have
been screaming for years. You don’t elect a President… then let
unelected bureaucrats at the State Department sabotage him from the
inside. That’s NOT how the Constitution works. Period. The American
people elected Donald J. Trump as President and Commander-in-Chief. That
means HIS foreign policy gets implemented not the personal agendas of
career insiders who think they know better than voters. This is
about sovereignty. This is about accountability. This is about WHO
actually runs the republic. Rubio is 100% right — foreign policy doesn’t
exist outside the will of the people. This is what standing up to the
Deep State looks like. More of this. (video)
- Beijing’s Shield Fails! Venezuela’s “Strongest Air Defense in South America” Collapses in U.S. Military Action.
For years, the Venezuelan military poured vast sums into acquiring
Chinese-made military equipment, building what it claimed was the “most
modern” defense system in South America. At its core was an air-defense
network centered on the JY-27 counter-stealth radar, once believed
capable of effectively countering U.S. stealth aircraft such as the
F-22. Meanwhile, its Marine Corps—equipped with VN-16 and VN-18
amphibious armored vehicles—was widely regarded as a formidable armored
force in the region...
Night Trading
- Asian indices are +.5% to +2.5% on average.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.25 -1.5 basis points.
- China Sovereign CDS 39.75 -4.0 basis points.
- China Iron Ore Spot 106.2 USD/Metric Tonne +.6%.
- Gold 4,417.8 USD/t oz. +2.1%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.78 -.25%.
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.07 -.08%.
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 101.0 unch.
- US 10-Year Yield 4.18% -1.0 basis point.
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.43% +3.0 basis points.
- Volatility Index(VIX) futures 18.1 -1.3%.
- Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.56%.
- S&P 500 futures +.14%.
- NASDAQ 100 futures +.35%.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by technology and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to maintain gains into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.