BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is lower into the final hour as losses in my Semi longs and Medical longs are more than offsetting gains in my Base Metal shorts and Energy-related shorts. I added to my (IWM) and (QQQQ) shorts today, thus leaving the Portfolio 50% net long. The tone of the market is very negative as the advance/decline line is substantially lower, almost every sector is declining and volume is above average. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM), which I am short, is down 15% in two weeks. The end of the emerging markets and commodities manias are currently resulting in pain for the broad market. But I continue to believe that U.S. stocks will be huge beneficiaries from this development over the intermediate-term as demand for U.S. assets increases, the U.S. dollar firms, consumer confidence rises, the negativity bubble deflates further, inflation worries subside and long-term interest rates remain relatively low. I expect US stocks to trade modestly higher into the close from current levels on short-covering, lower long-term rates and bargain hunting.
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Monday, May 22, 2006
Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Weakness in Commodity and Tech Shares
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