BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is slightly higher into the final hour on gains in my Medical longs, Networking longs and Retail longs. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 50% net long. The tone of the market is positive as the advance/decline line is higher, most sectors are gaining and volume is about average. So far, the major averages are holding onto slight gains. However, I am seeing too many negatives to expect this bounce to gain substantial upside traction. Any sustainable rally can't be led by commodity stocks, in my opinion. I find it highly unlikely the Fed will cease raising rates with the 10-year yield approaching recent highs and oil above $70 per barrel. Finally, while breadth is OK today, a number of market-leading stocks are lower or barely rising. I plan to remain nimble, but a test of recent lows still looks likely. I expect US stocks to trade mixed into the close from current levels as lower energy prices offset higher long-term rates.
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Wednesday, May 31, 2006
Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Bargain Hunting and Falling Energy Prices
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