Sunday, June 01, 2008

Weekly Outlook

Click here for Wall St. Week Ahead by Reuters.

Click here for stocks in focus for Monday by MarketWatch.

There are several economic reports of note and a number of significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.

Economic reports for the week include:

Mon. – ISM Manufacturing, ISM Prices Paid, Construction Spending

Tues. – Weekly retail sales, Vehicle Sales, Factory Orders

Wed. – Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Report, Weekly EIA Energy Inventory Data, Challenger Job Cuts Report, ADP Employment Report, Non-farm Productivity, Unit Labor Costs, ISM Non-Manufacturing

Thur. – Initial Jobless Claims, ICSC Chain Store Sales

Fri. – Change in Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, Wholesale Inventories, Consumer Credit

Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:

Mon. – Intrepid Potash(IPI), Lululemon Athletica(LULU)

Tues. – Toll Brothers(TOL), Bob Evans Farms(BOBE), Hovnanian(HOV), Copart Inc.(CPRT), Guess?(GES)

Wed. – Williams-Sonoma(WSM), Martek Biosciences(MATK), ADC Telecom(ADCT)

Thur. – Ciena Corp.(CIEN), Dr Pepper Snapple(DPS), Smithfield Foods(SFD), Jackson Hewitt(JTX), Brown-Forman(BF/B), National Semi(NSM), Cooper Cos(COO), Focus Media(FMCN), Quiksilver Inc.(ZQK), Take-Two Interactive(TTWO), Vail Resorts(MTN), Del Monte(DLM)

Fri. – Forn/Ferry(KFI)

Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:

Mon. – The Fed’s Lockhart speaking, (MDT) analyst meeting, (NVDA) investor briefing, (PMTC) analyst event, (EXEL) investor briefing, (UDR) investor day, RBC Energy Conference, Goldman Lodging/Gaming/Restaurant/Leisure Conference, ASCO 2008

Tue. – (ALTR) mid-quarter update, (CNC) analyst meeting, (THC) analyst meeting, (INFA) analyst meeting, Goldman Lodging/Gaming/Restaurant/Leisure Conference, JPMorgan Basics/Industrials Conference, RBC Energy Conference, Oppenheimer Communications/Tech Conference

Wed. – The Fed’s Lockhart speaking, (NFP) analyst meeting, (SPR) investor day, (BOBE) analyst meeting, Keefe Bruyette Woods Financial Services Conference, JPMorgan Basics/Industrials Conference, KeyBanc Transports Conference, Stephens Investment Conference, Oppenheimer Communications/Tech Conference

Thur. – (CSC) investor meeting, (HD) investor conference, (KLAC) analyst day, Jefferies Global Clean Tech Conference, BMO Healthcare Staffing Forum, Stephens Investment Conference, CSFB Environmental/Engineering Services Conference, Keefe Bruyette Woods Financial Services Conference, Merrill Ag Chemicals Conference, Citi Power/Gas/Utilities Conference

Fri. – The Fed’s Evans speaking, Fed’s Bullard speaking, Canaccord Adams Diabetes/Obesity Conference, Sandler O’Neil Global Exchange/Electronic Trading Conference

BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly higher on a stronger US dollar, lower energy prices, diminishing credit market angst, less economic pessimism and short-covering. My trading indicators are giving bullish signals and the Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.

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