Sunday, May 03, 2009

Weekly Outlook

Click here for Wall St. Week Ahead by Reuters.

Click here for stocks in focus for Monday by MarketWatch.

There are a number of economic reports of note and many significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.


Economic reports for the week include:


Mon. – Pending Home Sales, Construction Spending


Tues. – Weekly retail sales reports, ISM Non-Manufacturing Index


Wed. – Weekly EIA energy inventory report, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, Challenger Job Cuts, ADP Employment Change


Thur. – 1Q Non-farm Productivity, 1Q Unit Labor Costs, Initial Jobless Claims, ICSC Chain Store Sales, Consumer Credit


Fri. – Change in Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, Wholesale Inventories


Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:


Mon. – Administaff(ASF), Sprint Nextel(S), Mckesson(MCK), Post Properties(PPS), Vulcan Materials(VMC), Chesapeake Energy(CHK), MGM Mirage(MGM), Loews(L), Tyson Foods(TSN), Estee Lauder(EL), Tidewater(TDW)


Tues. – Automatic Data Processing(ADP), Diebold(DBD), St Joe(JOE), Weyerhaeuser(WY), Emerson Electric(EMR), Kraft Foods(KFT), Duke Energy(DUK), Walt Disney(DIS), Centex(CTX), Electronic Atrs(ERTS), Pulte Homes(PHM), CVS Caremark(CVS), Archer-Daniels-Midland(ADM), Las Vegas Sands(LVS), Avon Products(AVP), IntercontinentalExchange(ICE), Wynn Resorts(WYNN)


Wed. – News Corp.(NWS/A), Anadarko Petroleum(APC), Cisco Systems(CSCO), Symantec(SYMC)


Thur. – DR Horton(DHI), Allstate(ALL), Microchip Tech(MCHP), Nvidia(NVDA)


Fri. – Priceline.com(PCLN), El Paso(EP), Gartner(IT)


Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:


Mon. – The Fed’s Hoenig speaking, Fed’s Lacker speaking, (ZMH) shareholders meeting, (RIMM) Capital Markets Day, (SEE) analyst meeting, (AFL) shareholders meeting, (SHLD) shareholders meeting, (MOT) shareholders meeting

Tue. – The Fed’s Rosengren speaking, Fed Chairman Bernanke’s testimony on economy, Fed’s Hilton speaking, Fed’s Stern speaking, Fed’s Yellen speaking, (D) shareholders meeting, (BMY) shareholders meeting


Wed. – The Fed’s Stern speaking, Fed’s Yellen speaking, (FWLT) shareholders meeting, (PEP) shareholders meeting, (HOT) shareholders meeting, (GILD) stockholders meeting


Thur. – The Fed’s Evans speaking, Fed’s Bernanke speaking, (POT) shareholders meeting, (VZ) shareholders meeting, (BTU) shareholders meeting


Fri. – The Fed’s Evans speaking, Fed’s Lacker speaking, (AA) shareholders meeting, (GS) shareholders meeting


BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly higher on less credit market angst, better-than-feared earnings reports, declining economic fear, lower energy prices, short covering, investment manager performance anxiety, less swine flu fear and diminishing financial sector pessimism. My trading indicators are giving bullish signals and the Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.

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