Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- New York state’s pension, the third- largest in the U.S., invested $300 million with hedge funds in November, including one run by Perella Weinberg Partners focused on distressed credit, according to state Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli. The pension, which posted an 18.3 percent return for the six months through Sept. 30, invested $100 million each with New York-based Perella’s Xerion Fund, the Brigade Leveraged Capital Structures Fund and Level Global’s long-short fund. New York’s $126 billion pension closed seven deals in November for a total of $591.4 million. The state also placed $250 million with a fund that buys distressed mortgages and $40 million in private equity funds.
- Citrus growers in Florida fought to protect their crops and ranchers in the U.S. Midwest watched for more snow as wintry weather sent futures prices higher for orange juice, cattle and hogs. Cold and storms, the worst in decades, have disrupted travel from China to Europe to the U.S. South. London’s Gatwick airport closed late yesterday for snow removal. At least four deaths on American highways have been blamed on the weather, according to the Associated Press, while seven people were killed in an avalanche in Switzerland. AccuWeather.com, based in State College, Pennsylvania, predicted the worst U.S. winter in 25 years. Overnight temperatures were forecast to be 15 to 35 degrees below average, dropping into the teens, in some areas along the U.S. Gulf Coast, said Jim Rouiller, a senior energy meteorologist for Planalytics of Wayne, Pennsylvania. The northern Great Plains and upper Midwest may receive 4 to 8 inches (10 to 20 centimeters) of snow through today, said Mike Tannura, the president of T-Storm Weather in Chicago. Omaha, Nebraska, has received 27 inches since Dec. 1, he said. Another “big Arctic blast” may occur from Jan. 8 to Jan. 9, sending temperatures as low as minus-30 degrees Fahrenheit (minus-34 Celsius), Tannura said. Joe Bastardi, the chief meteorologist for AccuWeather, said in a Jan. 4 statement that “upcoming days” will see the coldest readings since 1985, when temperatures below zero Fahrenheit were seen from Chicago to Georgia. The U.K. is suffering its longest period of widespread snow and cold since December 1981, Sarah Holland, a spokeswoman for the government weather service, said in a telephone interview yesterday. The cold has lasted 18 days and could last “for the next couple of weeks,” she said, with as much as a foot of snow expected in parts of southern England overnight. In China, air traffic and coal deliveries were hampered by heavy snows and the lowest temperatures in 50 years. Beijing readings were forecast to drop as low as minus 16 degrees Celsius overnight, according to the China Meteorological Administration. Average steer weights at slaughter fell 2.3 percent in the past three weeks as animals used more energy to keep warm. Temperatures in New York City and Boston are forecast to be as much as 12 degrees below average by Jan. 10, according to MDA Federal Inc.’s EarthSat Energy Weather of Rockville, Maryland. The U.S. Northeast is responsible for about four-fifths of the country’s heating oil use. In the central U.S., temperatures will be 25 degrees below average in Houston on Jan. 8 and 16 degrees below normal in Cincinnati on Jan. 9, according to EarthSat. About 72 percent of households in the Midwest use natural gas for heat.
- China was accused of piracy in a lawsuit filed by a California software maker, which said the Green Dam Youth Escort filtering software installed on personal computers in the country infringes its copyright. Cybersitter LLC, a closely held company, seeks $2.2 billion in damages in a complaint filed today in federal court in Los Angeles. The company accuses China and computer manufacturers whose products include the Green Dam program of stealing its trade secrets, unfair competition, copyright infringement and civil conspiracy. “This lawsuit aims to strike a blow against the all-too- common practices of foreign software manufacturers and distributors who believe that they can violate the intellectual property rights of small American companies with impunity without being brought to justice in U.S. courts,” Greg Fayer, a lawyer representing Cybersitter, said in a statement.
- Petroleos Mexicanos, the state-owned oil company, may produce more crude in 2011 as new discoveries come on line, arresting seven years of plunging output. Pemex, as the Mexico City-based company is known, may produce 2.55 million barrels a day next year, up 50,000 barrels from the forecast for 2010, Carlos Morales, head of exploration and production, said in a presentation on the company’s Web site dated Dec. 1 and released at year-end. Oil production may rise to 2.69 million barrels a day in 2012, Morales said in the presentation. The company expects to add production from new fields that are part of its Crudo Ligero Marino project as well as fields in the Campeche sound, the location of Cantarell, the world’s third-largest field when it was discovered in the 1970s. Production at the $11.1 million Chicontepec onshore field and additional onshore projects may also climb next year.
Wall Street Journal:
- Worries about unsustainable debt levels in the U.S. and the U.K. have dominated the headlines recently, but at least one influential economist thinks the concerns are exaggerated and that Japan faces greater risks to its economy. Concerns over sovereign credit ratings and fiscal problems in the U.S. and the U.K. are "overdone," Goldman Sachs's Chief Economist Jim O'Neill told Dow Jones Newswires in a telephone interview Tuesday. He doesn't expect a "disaster" in the Treasury or the U.K. government bond market this year, nor does he buy into the hype about the dollar's demise. Even sterling -- the market's favorite punching bag -- should be a big winner this year, according to Mr. O'Neill. Instead, he said, it's Japan and the yen that investors should keep an eye on. Japan's problems are "much, much worse" than those of the U.K and the U.S. That's why he expects the yen to be the "big loser" among major currencies in 2010. No surprise, then, that one of his favorite personal trades this year is to buy the pound against the yen. In the U.S., he noted that "the risk of [a] double dip [recession] in the economy this year has declined significantly. The bigger risk is the economy is stronger than we and others think and therefore the Fed may have to change its mind." As for the dollar, Mr. O'Neill made it clear that he doesn't buy into the doomsday scenario painted by some for the U.S. currency. In fact, according to Goldman's models, the dollar remains undervalued, despite its recent recovery. "My experience tells me that sometime over the next two years or longer the dollar would go to $1.20 against the euro," said Mr. O'Neill, a level it last traded at in March 2006. Tuesday, the dollar was trading at $1.4356 against the euro. "The dollar's long-term problem has in the past been the current account deficit and that is now improving. It is very hard to be so bearish on the dollar," he said. Mr. O'Neill expects stock markets to outperform other asset classes this year, followed by commodities, while credit markets, including government debt, are likely to be the laggards. "It is a fantastic environment for global equities because you've got very strong earnings recovery and very strong liquidity from the central banks," he said.
- Warren Buffett famously described complex financial instruments such as credit-default swaps as “weapons of mass destruction.” YRC Worldwide, a trucking company best known for its Yellow and Roadway-branded big rigs, would agree with that assessment. CDSs nearly proved to be the company’s undoing. And the fact that YRC almost went bust because of CDSs shows how little has changed on Wall Street. WSJ’s Dennis Berman sits down with Evan Newmark to discuss YRC’s struggle for survival.
- Interior Secretary Ken Salazar is expected to announce Wednesday that his agency will require oil and natural-gas companies to clear more regulatory hurdles before they are allowed to drill on federal lands. Mr. Salazar's action is likely to make it more difficult for the U.S. Bureau of Land Management to fast-track the permitting of oil and gas projects on federal land. BLM field staffers would be required to seek additional approvals from their supervisors and to undertake more visits to areas where energy companies are seeking access, according to people familiar with the matter. The BLM manages more than 260 million acres of federal land, and with it, a significant chunk of U.S. energy supplies. Domestic production from federal onshore oil and gas wells accounts for 11% of U.S. natural-gas supplies and 5% of the nation's oil. The Obama administration is already locked in a bitter fight with the oil and gas industry over proposals to raise billions of dollars in additional taxes from energy companies, and to cap the emissions of gases caused by burning fossil fuels, which have been linked to global warming.
- New signs emerged that Chinese health authorities suspected a Shanghai dairy was producing milk tainted with deadly melamine well before the first public announcements last week that it had been shut. State media announced on New Year's Eve that Shanghai Panda Dairy Co. had been closed, its milk products recalled from around the country and three top executives arrested. Tuesday, local media reports and remarks by industry executives suggested that authorities were aware of problem milk at Shanghai Panda weeks or months before the recall.
- AQR Capital Management LLC, which was among the first big hedge funds to launch a line of mutual funds for mom-and-pop investors, has raised more than $1 billion in assets in less than a year, a potential challenge to the struggling mutual-fund industry. AQR is set to launch Wednesday its seventh mutual fund, a managed-futures portfolio that seeks to take advantage of trends in commodities, bonds and other markets.
MarketWatch.com:
CNBC.com:
- Unlimited Credit for Fannie, Freddie: A Backdoor Bailout?
NY Times:
- Television Begins a Push Into the 3rd Dimension.
Lloyd's List:
- Panamax Atlantic rates have climbed to a seven-week high as an influx of cargoes built up over the western hemisphere’s holiday season caused a surge in activity. A sudden rush of fresh cargo inquiry combined with a lack of available tonnage has given owners room to push up prices. “Rates are going up pretty quickly at the moment.
FoxNews:
- Tuesday night's matchup between Iowa and Georgia Tech is the coldest Orange Bowl ever, with the kickoff temperature 49 degrees and a northwest wind making it feel seven degrees cooler. Forecasters at the National Weather Service say wind chills across South Florida will be in the 30s by game's end, part of the region's worst cold snap in a decade. Temperatures across the region have been about 20 degrees colder than normal for several days. The previous Orange Bowl low was 57 degrees, set two years ago for the matchup between Kansas and Virginia Tech.
CNNMoney.com:
- Brace yourself! 3-D entertainment is coming to a television set near you. Both ESPN and Discovery Communications(DISCA) announced Tuesday that they will launch 3-D TV networks. ESPN will start airing its 3-D sports network in June, while Discovery Communications did not specify when it would begin airing 3-D content.
Business Insider:
- Chart Of The Day: How The Government Payroll Replaced Goods-Producing Jobs.
- Chart Of The Day: Internet Advertising Ready To Take More Money Away From Newspapers.
Business Week:
- China’s government said it will curb credit for home purchases to reduce speculation and rein in surging real-estate prices. The nation will “further restrict credit for the purchase of second homes and curb speculative housing investments,” Jiang Weixin, the housing minister, said in a statement on the ministry’s Web site today.
Politico:
- Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-N.D.) announced Tuesday night that he would retire rather than run for re-election this year, a surprise move that imperils the Democrats' 60-seat majority next year. Dorgan wasn't facing any serious opposition in what would have been a campaign for his fourth term, but North Dakota’s popular Republican Gov. John Hoeven is considering a bid and was leading in early polls.
- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, piqued with White House pressure to accept the Senate health reform bill, threw a rare rhetorical elbow at President Barack Obama Tuesday, questioning his commitment to his 2008 campaign promises. A leadership aide said it was no accident. Pelosi emerged from a meeting with her leadership team and committee chairs in the Capitol to face an aggressive throng of reporters who immediately hit her with C-SPAN’s request that she permit closed-door final talks on the bill to be televised. A reporter reminded the San Francisco Democrat that in 2008, then-candidate Obama opined that all such negotiations be open to C-SPAN cameras. “There are a number of things he was for on the campaign trail,” quipped Pelosi, who has no intention of making the deliberations public. People familiar with Pelosi's thinking wasted little time in explaining precisely what she meant by a “number of things” – saying it reflected weeks of simmering tension on health care between two Democratic power players who have functioned largely in lock-step during Obama’s first year in office. Senior House Democratic leadership aides say Pelosi was pointedly referring to Obama’s ’08 pledge not to raise taxes on the middle class, which she interprets to include a tax on so-called “Cadillac” health care plans that offer lavish benefit packages to many union members. The House aides, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Pelosi has been miffed with Obama’s tilt toward the Senate plan and his expectation the House will simply go along with the Senate bill out of political necessity.
Rasmussen Reports:
Seattle Post-Intelligencer:
- In a move that could see Washington inmates voting from prison, a federal appeals court has thrown out the state's restrictions on felon voting. Under state law, residents convicted of a felony currently lose the right to vote until they are released from custody and off of Department of Corrections supervision. Tuesday's split ruling by a 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals panel puts those restrictions in doubt, as two of three judges reviewing the voting rights lawsuit found that the state restrictions unfairly penalize minorities. Attorneys for six Washington state prisoners, Circuit Court Judge A. Wallace Tashima wrote, "have demonstrated that police practices, searches, arrests, detention practices, and plea bargaining practices lead to a greater burden on minorities that cannot be explained in race-neutral ways." Joined by Judge Stephen Reinhardt in the majority opinion, Tashima found that black and Latino Washingtonians faced arrest and prosecution at rates far higher than could be explained simply by increased criminal activity. Finding no "race neutral" explanation for the higher incarceration rates, the majority reversed a U.S. District Court decision and ruled in favor of the inmates. "Although (the state) criticized the experts' studies and the conclusions, the (plaintiffs') reports, when objectively viewed, support a finding of racial discrimination in Washington's criminal justice system," Tashima said in the ruling. "Given that uncontroverted showing," he added, "in the words of the district court, there can be 'no doubt that members of racial minorities have experienced discrimination in Washington's criminal justice system.'" Speaking on the ruling, Washington Secretary of State Sam Reed said the court's decision came as a surprise, in part because three circuit court panels elsewhere in the country came to opposite conclusions while reviewing similar cases. Reed said he believes the state prohibition against prisoner voting remains appropriate. "That's part of the penalty," Reed said. "A person loses their rights when they violate the rights of others by perpetrating a felony. … As long as when they get out they get a chance to rejoin society, that's the important part."
FinancialNewsOnline:
Seeking Alpha:
Forbes:
- Obama On Small Business: A Year Later.
Atlanta Business Chronicle:
- A stock analyst with Robert W. Baird & Co. estimates that Plexus Corp.'s(PLXS) development of a new beverage dispensing machine for The Coca-Cola Co.(KO) could lead to an additional $200 million in annual revenue for the Neenah company. The contract electronics products manufacturer announced last June that it was awarded a contract by Atlanta-based Coca-Cola to make a proprietary fountain dispenser called Coca-Cola Freestyle capable of dispensing more than 100 different types of soft drinks.
USAToday:
Detroit Free Press:
- Ford(F) roars amid strong December auto sales. The worst year in decades for the auto industry ended on a surprisingly positive note in December with sales increasing 15.1% — suggesting that the long-awaited rebound for the industry might really take hold in 2010. Ford Motor was among a half dozen automakers — and the only domestic one — that posted a sales spike of more than 30% during the final month of the year. Ken Czubay, Ford’s vice president of U.S. marketing sales, said the final week of the year exceeded expectations. Most impressive: The sales were achieved even while total incentive spending decreased. While General Motors’ sales fell 5.7% in December compared with a year ago, GM noted that sales of its four core brands — Chevrolet, Cadillac, GMC and Buick — continue to gain momentum. Chrysler’s sales, meanwhile, declined 3.7% in December to 86,523 new cars and trucks.
Reuters:
- U.S. securities regulators will meet on Jan. 13 on whether to publish a concept paper soliciting comment on a range of equity market issues, including high frequency trading and "dark" liquidity, the Securities and Exchange Commission said on Tuesday. The SEC posted the agenda to its website and said it will also consider whether to propose a new rule regarding risk management at brokers or dealers that provide market access.
Financial Times:
- Prince Alwaleed bin Talal al-Saud, the Saudi investor, revealed on Tuesday that he plans to shore up the balance sheet of his investment vehicle by “donating” SR2.24bn (€416m) of shares in Citigroup(C) into it. Prince Alwaleed said the initiative would help lead Kingdom Holding, which floated 5 per cent of its shares on the Saudi stock exchange in 2007, to profitability and enable it to distribute dividends to shareholders.
Evening Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Upgraded (MAN) to Buy, target $69.
- Upgraded (RHI) to Buy, target $36.
- Reiterated Buy on (SII), target $35.
Thomas Weisel:
- Raised (FNSR) to Overweight, target $13.
- Rated (ATLS) Overweight, target $40.
Night Trading
Asian indices are +.25% to +1.0% on avg.
S&P 500 futures -.24%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.19%.
Morning Preview
BNO Breaking Global News of Note
Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories
MarketWatch Pre-market Commentary
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades
Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- (WOR)/.07
- (RPM)/.34
- (AYI)/.50
- (FDO)/.47
- (MON)/.00
- (SHAW)/.45
- (RT)/-.01
- (BLUD)/.26
- (BBBY)/.43
- (RECN)/.02
- (CBK)/.20
- (SMSC)/.22
Economic Releases
8:15 am EST
- The ADP Employment Change for December is estimated at -75K versus -169K in November.
10:00 am EST
- ISM Non-Manufacturing for December is estimated to rise to 50.5 versus a reading of 48.7 in November.
10:30 am EST
- Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -1,000,000 barrels versus a -1,538,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are expected to rise by +800,000 barrels versus a -366,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -1,850,000 barrels versus a -2,055,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is expected to rise by +.4% versus a +.23% gain the prior week.
2:00 pm EST
- Minutes of FOMC Meeting
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Challenger Job Cuts report, Citi Entertainment/Media/Telecom Conference, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, monthly retail same-store-sales reports and the Consumer Electronics Show could also impact trading today.
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