North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.99 bps -1.41%
European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.90 bps -13.14%
Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.08 bps -3.94%
Emerging Market CDS Index 226.88 bps -1.69%
2-Year Swap Spread 21.0 bps -1 basis point
TED Spread 11.0 bps unch.
Economic Gauges:
3-Month T-Bill Yield .14% unch.
Yield Curve 281.0 bps -1 basis point
Copper Days Demand 15.18 days -.09%
Citi US Economic Surprise Index +14.80 -2.2 points
10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25% +2.0 bps
Overseas Futures:
Nikkei Futures: Indicating +67 open in Japan
DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio:
Higher: On strength in my Biotech, Financial and Tech long positions
Disclosed Trades: None
Market Exposure: 100% Net Long
BOTTOM LINE: Today's overall market action is bullish as the major averages build on recent gains with the bears failing to capitalize on yesterday's afternoon weakness. On the positive side, (XLF) has traded pretty well throughout the day, gaining +.9%. Technology shares are also outpeforming, rising +1.0%. Hospital, Airline, Bank, Semi and Oil Tankers stocks are estpecially strong, rising 2.0%+. The implosion in the euro financial sector cds index is a major positive. As well, sovereign cds remain under meaningful pressure again today. The decline in gold is noteworthy considering today's euro strength, equity gains and uptick in inflation expectations. On the negative side, Telecom, Homebuilding and Retail stocks are slightly lower on the day. Shanghai copper inventories are up another +5.4% today and are back near their Dec. 2009 highs. On of my longs, (GOOG), is surging up through its 50-day moving average on volume today. As I said a couple of weeks ago, I believe the shares are attractive for both short and longer-term investors around current levels. We are seeing some more modest late day profit-taking in the broad market, but so far weakness isn't meaningful. I expect US stocks to trade mixed-to-higher into the close from current levels on short-covering, technical buying, stable long-term rates, tech sector optimism and diminishing financial sector pessimism.
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