Thursday, September 02, 2010

Thursday Watch


Evening Recommendations
Citigroup:
  • Reiterated Buy on (AAPL), target $350.
Morgan Stanley:
  • Reiterated Overweight on (NFLX).
  • Reiterated Overweight on (AAPL), target $346.
Stifel Nicolaus:
  • Rated (ZMH) Buy, target $58.
  • Rated (NUVA) Buy, target $37.
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are +.50% to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 127.0 -6.0 basis points.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 120.50 -5.75 basis points.
  • S&P 500 futures -.43%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.34%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • (DLM)/.26
  • (COO)/.71
  • (HRB)/-.41
  • (ULTA)/.20
  • (TTWO)/-.08
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Final 2Q Non-farm Productivity is estimated at -1.9% versus a prior estimate of a -.9% decline.
  • Final 2Q Unit Labor Costs are estimated at +1.2% versus a prior estimate of a +.2% gain.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 475K versus 473K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 4450K versus 4456K prior.
10:00 am EST
  • Factory Orders for July are estimated to rise +.2% versus a -1.2% decline in June.
  • Pending Home Sales for July are estimated to fall -1.0% versus a -2.6% decline in June.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • Bernanke's testimony before the Crisis Inquiry Commission, the Fed's Rosengren speaking, Fed's Pianalto speaking and the ICSC Chain Store Sales report for August could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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