Friday, July 13, 2012

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Short-Covering, Euro Bounce, Bargain-Hunting, Technical Buying


Broad Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 17.06 -6.93%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call 1.01 +3.06%
  • NYSE Arms .93 -36.88%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 112.03 -1.1%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 273.13 bps -1.8%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 272.43 -.57%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 259.09 -2.60%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 35.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -49.50 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 125.0 +4 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $132.80/Metric Tonne -.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -61.60 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.08 +3 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +92 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +12 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech, retail, medical and tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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