Thursday, October 11, 2012

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, US "Fiscal Cliff" Worries, Rising Food/Energy Prices, Homebuilding/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 15.58 -4.36%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 122.0 -2.40%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -14.0%
  • NYSE Arms .83 -43.19%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 97.30 bps -1.72%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 180.57 bps -2.87%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 141.18 bps -.20%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 222.87 bps -2.24%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.5-1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.5 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% unch.
  • Yield Curve 140.0 -5 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $115.80/Metric Tonne -1.61%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 45.70 +3.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.47 -8 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +49 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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