Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, Emerging Markets Unrest, Technical Selling, Metals & Mining/Homebuilding Sector Weakness


Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.60 +1.41%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.18 +.93 +.32%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.67 +.28%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.75 -2.36%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 71.0 -20.22%
  • Total Put/Call 1.01 -10.99%
  • NYSE Arms 1.03 -14.11% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.82 +1.69%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 164.09 +.28%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 93.50 -.46%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 325.34 +3.31%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.50 +2.0 bps
  • TED Spread 25.25 -1.0 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +! bp
  • Yield Curve 212.0 -1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $119.30/Metric Tonne +2.05%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -1.80 +1.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -35.40 -.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.05 +3 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +212 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -34 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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