Monday, January 27, 2014

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Utility/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.10 -5.73%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.49 +.36%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.93 +1.43%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.41 +.07%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 141.0 +78.48%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -4.44%
  • NYSE Arms .65 -62.56% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.72 -1.58%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 104.88 +.83%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.0 +3.13%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 117.95 -.85%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 334.63 -.82%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 19.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.25 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 241.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $124.30/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 59.0 -3.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 7.1 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +25 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +27 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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