Friday, April 11, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Emerging Markets/European Debt Angst, Tech/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.35 +9.19%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.16 +.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.34 +.85%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.82 +5.09%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 76.0 +4.11%
  • Total Put/Call 1.19 +17.82% 
  • NYSE Arms 1.33 -40.38% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.86 +3.28%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 82.67 +1.86%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 42.36 unch.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 88.28 +1.98%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 279.80 +2.64%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 351.33 n/a
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.5 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 227.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $116.90/Metric Tonne -1.85%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -40.20 +1.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.10 -9.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -61 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -36 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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