Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Less Economic Optimism, Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Healthcare/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.67 +2.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.88 +.44%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.49 -.4%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.67 +8.26%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 122.0 +23.23%
  • Total Put/Call .79 +5.33%
  • NYSE Arms 1.04 +27.12%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.84 +.03%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 361.0 -2.1%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.70 +.93%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 7.80 -10.14%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.02 -2.39%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 188.94 -.86%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 138.08 +.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.0 -2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.50 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.21 +.44%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .90% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 103.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.17/Metric Tonne +.61%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -37.60 -5.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 65.40 -2.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 30.5 +1.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.84 -1.0 basis point
  • 90.2% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 93.5% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -74 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +4 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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