Friday, September 01, 2017

Stocks Higher into Afternoon on Economic Optimism, Tax Reform Hopes, Short-Covering, Retail/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.13 -4.34%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.53 -.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.42 -.54%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 31.72 -.75%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 72.0 -34.6%
  • Total Put/Call .82 -21.90%
  • NYSE Arms .55 -42.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.50 -1.96%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 465.0 -.91%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.28 -2.01%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 5.59 -4.45%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.81 -2.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.26 -1.86%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 141.27 +.12%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 31.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 74.66 +.22%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.0% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 81.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $78.91/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -18.20 +4.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 25.80 +2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 19.80 +3.5 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.79 +2.0 basis points
  • 15.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 1 meeting, 42.5% chance at Dec. 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +28 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +56 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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