Tuesday, August 20, 2019

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Worries, Profit-Taking, Technical Selling, Financial/Energy Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.99 +.65%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 122.53 -.10%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.82 +.46%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.48 +.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 83.0 +31.8%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -6.45%
  • NYSE Arms 1.26 +56.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.52 +.98%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 415.0 -1.35%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.20 +.93%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 206.25 -2.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.07 -1.18%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 211.13 +.44%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 164.77 -.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread .5 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.0 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.25 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.43 +.12%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.90% unch.
  • Yield Curve 4.75 -1.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 83.81 USD/Metric Tonne -3.03%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -10.9 +2.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -60.30 +1.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -25.6 -4.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.54 -3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate cut at Oct. 30th meeting, 100.0% chance of cut at Dec. 11th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -147 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -50 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -16 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/biotech/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

No comments: