BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is substantially higher into the final hour on gains in my Internet longs, Software longs, Networking longs and Retail longs. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 100% net long. The tone of the market is slightly positive as the advance/decline line is modestly higher, sector performance is mixed and volume is below average. The AAII % Bulls rose to 43.21% this week from 40.18% the prior week. This reading is now around average levels. The AAII % Bears fell to 28.40% this week from 35.71% the prior week. This reading is now also around average levels. I expect bullish sentiment to rise again next week. These numbers are still not near levels associated with short-term tops. Since the average stock is already up about 6.2% for the year, these numbers bode well for a continuation of recent strength. I expect US stocks to trade mixed-to-higher into the close from current levels on short-covering and lower energy prices.
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Thursday, February 23, 2006
Stocks Mixed into Final Hour as Falling Energy Prices offset Rising Long-term Rates
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