Thursday, November 01, 2007

Friday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s plans to resolve the subprime-mortgage crisis are “significant,” said civil-rights leader Jesse Jackson, who called on the central bank chief to organize a banking summit.
- Amaranth Advisors LLC’s bid to halt federal energy regulators from proceeding with a proposed $291 fine was rejected by a federal judge in NY.
- The House Ways and Means Committee approved a plan to raise taxes on executives of hedge funds and private-equity firms by $49.5 billion over the next decade to prevent a separate tax increase on middle-income families this year.
- Paulson & Co. scaled back bets against subprime-mortgage securities, recording investment profits that helped the NY-based hedge fund manager double assets to $24 billion this year. Paulson cut bets against securities linked to subprime home loans by 86% across its eight funds. Paulson’s $5 billion Credit Opportunities Fund has soared more than 500% this year.
- Copper tumbled 3.2%, the most in 11 weeks, after stockpiles monitored by the London Metal Exchange rose 8.3% this week to the highest level since April. Supplies surged 28% in October, according to the LME.
- Republican former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who a month ago said Senator Hillary Clinton had an 80% chance of being the next US president, now says recent stumbles may costs her the White House.
- Democratic lawmakers, ignoring a veto threat, will try to force President Bush to approve an increase in domestic spending by combining it with legislation funding military construction and veterans’ programs.
- General Motors(GM) and Japanese automakers led the US auto industry to its first monthly sales gain since May, while Ford Motor(F) and Chrysler LLC slipped.

Wall Street Journal:
- IRS Steps Up Tax Probe Of Hedge, Buyout Firms.

Wired:
- Google(GOOG) Aims to Break Open the Closed World of Social Networking.

USA Today.com:
- Mortgage rates drop to the lowest level in 5 months.
- Emerging markets have rocked, so now it’s time to roll.

Reuters:
- Top-20 selling vehicles in US through October.

Financial Times:
- The US is to offer Turkey a package of measures to dissuade Ankara from mounting a large-scale military incursion into Iraq to attack PKK Kurdish guerrillas, who have killed scores of Turkish soldiers in recent weeks.

Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
- None of note

Night Trading
Asian Indices are -2.0% to -1.0% on average.
S&P 500 futures +.05%.
NASDAQ 100 futures +.09%.

Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Movers
Top 25 Stories

Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
CNBC Guest Schedule

Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (NYX)/.73
- (B)/.44
- (VIA/B)/.59
- (IP)/.57
- (MSO)/-.12
- (OMG)/1.17
- (PDX)/.80
- (TE)/.35
- (CI)/.94
- (DUK)/.39
- (BRK/A)/1401.87
- (CVX)/2.07

Upcoming Splits
- (ATU) 2-for-1

Economic Releases
8:30 am EST

- The Change in Non-farm Payrolls for October is estimated at 85K versus 110K in September.
- The Unemployment Rate for October is estimated at 4.7% versus 4.7% in September.
- Average Hourly Earnings for October are estimated to rise .3% versus a .4% gain in September.

10:00 am EST
- Factory Orders for September are estimated to fall .7% versus a 3.3% decline in August.

Other Potential Market Movers
- The (FFIV) analyst meeting, (PKI) analyst meeting and (WSH) investor day could also impact trading today.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by automaker and financial stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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