Thursday, February 07, 2008

Friday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- The euro headed for the biggest weekly decline in 1 ½ years against the dollar after European Central Bank President Trichet signaled he’s open to cutting interest rates as economic growth slows.
- The rebound in the dollar foreseen by UBS AG, BNP Paribas SA and Deutsche Bank AG is gaining momentum.
- Freddie Mac’s(FRE) losses from mortgage defaults may hit bottom by the end of the year as the housing recovery, CEO Richard Syron said today.
- The US Senate approved a $151 billion economic stimulus measure that will send tax rebates to more than 100 million US households.
- US economic growth is poised to return to its long-term trend in the second half of the year following aggressive interest –rate cuts, said Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Richard Fisher.
- OPEC may cut crude production when it meets next month to keep the price above $80 a barrel, oil ministry officials from four of the group’s nations said.
- Cognizant Technology(CTSH) said quarterly revenue rose 41% from year ago levels. The shares surged 13% in extended trading.
- Intermec(IN) reported revenues rose 16% over year ago levels. The shares rose 7.4% in after-hours trading.
- BMC Software(BMC) reported revenues exceeded the high end of guidance, rising 11% from year ago levels. The stock gained 4% in extended trading.
- CF Industries(CF) said net sales rose 62% from year ago levels. The shares jumped 7% in after-hours trading.
- MBIA Inc.(MBI) raised $1 billion by selling shares at $12.15 each in an effort to protect its AAA insurance rating. The stock fell 8.4% in extended trading.

MarketWatch.com:
- Hedge funds had their worst month since the dot-com bust. Fed rate cuts may have made things worse as heavily shorted stocks rallied.

NY Times:
- Benazir Bhutto died from a head wound caused after a bomb blast and not from an assassin’s bullet, according to Scotland Yard investigators probing the Pakistan opposition leader’s killing.

IBD:
- Handhelds Become Instant Hit For Maker Of Ultrasound Devices.
- HR Software Online Rising.

Gizmodo:
- Google(GOOG) Phone Prototype to Be Shown Next Week at Mobile World Congress.

USA Today.com:
- Corporate cafeterias go the green, healthy route.
- It’s not just Clinton, Obama and McCain stressing over the presidential election. Wall Street is, too.

Reuters:
- Three former El Paso(EP) natural gas traders were convicted on Thursday of reporting false deals to manipulate gas prices from 2000-2002.

Financial Times:
- China Investment Corporation, the Chinese sovereign wealth fund, is close to an agreement with JC Flowers, the US pirate equity group, to put about $4 billion into a new fund to invest in ailing financial institutions.
- US and Italian police arrested more than 70 Mafia suspects in NY and Sicily on Thursday, decapitating the second largest crime family in the US and thwarting plans by a new generation of organized crime bosses to re-establish a transatlantic axis.

Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:

- Maintained Buy on (WW), target $62.
- Reiterated Buy on (ARW), raised target to $50..
- Reiterated Buy on (EXPE), target $38.
- Maintained Buy on (MDTH), target $40.
- Maintained Buy on (COV), target $52.
- Maintained Buy on (IP), target $40.
- Reiterated Buy on (CF), target $139.

Night Trading
Asian Indices are -.50% to +.75% on average.
S&P 500 futures -.03%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.07%.

Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Movers
Top 25 Stories

Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
CNBC Guest Schedule

Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (ALU)/.14
- (BEC)/1.03
- (CVH)/1.18
- (FNM)/-1.29
- (SKYW)/.64
- (WY)/.34

Upcoming Splits
- None of note

Economic Releases
10:00 am EST

- Wholesale Inventories for December are estimated to rise .3% versus a .6% gain in November.

Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed’s Lockhart speaking, Fed’s Pianalto speaking, Fed’s Yellen speaking, (GLW) investor meeting, (STJ) analyst meeting and CSFB Energy Conference could also impact trading today.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mixed as gains in automaker stocks are offsetting losses in industrial stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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