Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Wednesday, February 06, 2008
Stocks Lower into Final Hour, Weighed Down by Tech, Financial and Homebuilding Shares
BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is lower into the final hour on losses in my Computer longs, Medical longs and Semi longs. I added to my (IWM)/(QQQQ) hedges and added to my (EEM) short today, thus leaving the Portfolio 50% net long. The overall tone of the market is negative as the advance/decline line is lower, most sectors are declining and volume is above average. Investor anxiety is above average. Today’s overall market action is bearish. The VIX is rising 2.5% today to a high 29.0. The ISE Sentiment Index is a very low 84.0 and the total put/call is hitting an above average 1.02. Finally, the NYSE Arms is above-average at 1.4. The ongoing weakness in many large-cap growth leaders is worrisome. I will closely monitor the market’s reaction to Cisco’s report after the close before lifting market exposure. Nikkei futures indicate a -10 open in Japan and DAX futures indicate a -50 open in Germany . I expect US stocks to trade mixed into the close from current levels as bargain-hunting, falling energy prices and short-covering offsets ongoing economic pessimism.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment