Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Wednesday, July 02, 2008
Stocks Sharply Lower into Final Hour on Surging Oil, Rising Global Growth Worries
BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is lower into the final hour on losses in my Alternative Energy longs and Software longs. I added (IWM)/(QQQQ) hedges and added to my (EEM) short today, thus leaving the Portfolio 75% net long. The tone of the market is very negative as the advance/decline line is substantially lower, most sectors are falling and volume is above average. Investor anxiety is high. Today’s overall market action is bearish. The VIX is rising 7.1% and is now high at 25.3. The ISE Sentiment Index is below average at 112.0 and the total put/call is above average at 1.01. Finally, the NYSE Arms has been running high most of the day and is currently 1.68. The Euro Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index is down .95% today to 95.29 basis points. This index is up from a low of 52.66 on May 5th, but down from 129.46 basis points on March 20th. . However, the TED spread is rising 5.96% to .98. Due to recent market volatility, I am unable to blog as much as normal. Sorry for the inconvenience. Nikkei futures indicate a -56 open in Japan and DAX futures indicate an +16 open in Germany tomorrow. I expect US stocks to trade modestly lower into the close from current levels on surging oil, record short-selling and rising global growth worries.
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