Sunday, August 02, 2009

Weekly Outlook

Click here for Wall St. Week Ahead by Reuters.


Click here for Stocks to Watch Monday by MarketWatch.


There are several economic reports of note and a number of significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.


Economic reports for the week include:


Mon. – ISM Manufacturing, ISM Prices Paid, Construction Spending, Total Vehicle Sales


Tues. – Weekly retail sales, Personal Income, Personal Spending, PCE Core, Pending Home Sales, ABC Consumer Confidence


Wed. – Weekly EIA energy inventory report, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, Challenger Job Cuts, ADP Employment Change, ISM Non-Manufacturing, Factory Orders


Thur. – Initial Jobless Claims, ICSC Chain Store Sales, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report


Fri. – Change in Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, Consumer Credit


Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:


Mon. – Clorox Co.(CLX), Barnes Group(B), Loews Corp.(L), MGM Mirage(MGM), Administaff(ASF), Molson Coors(TAP), Marathon Oil(MRO), Tyson Foods(TSN), Anadarko Petroleum(APC), Carmike Cinamas(CKEC), Pulte Homes(PHM), Chesapeake Energy(CHK), Vulcan Materials(VMC), Post Properties(PPS)


Tues. – DR Horton(DHI), Simon Property(SPG), St Joe(STJ), Diebold(DBD), Archer-Daniels-Midland(ADM), Duke Energy(DUK), CVS Caremark(CVS), Kraft Foods(KFT), Cephalon(CEPH), Electronic Arts(ERTS), Whole Foods(WFMI), BMC Software(BMC), IntercontinentalExchange(ICE), Emerson Electric(EMR), Papa John’s(PZZA), Rowan Cos(RDC)


Wed. – March & Mclennan(MMC), Baker Hughes(BHI), Procter & Gamble(PG), Foster Wheeler(FWLT), Polo Ralph Lauren(RL), News Corp(NWSA), Prudential Financial(PRU), Allstate(ALL), Career Education(CECO), Cisco Systems(CSCO), Murphy Oil(MRO), Devon Energy(DVN), Vornado Realty(VNO), XTO Energy(XTO)


Thur. – Wendy’s(WEN), Blackstone(BX), Williams Cos(WMB), Computer Sciences(CSC), Beazer(BZH), DirectTV Group(DTV), Public Storage(PSA), Microchip Tech(MCHP), Brinker Intl(EAT), El Paso Corp.(EP), Nvidia(NVDA), Comcast(CMCSA)


Fri. – HHGregg(HGG), Mirant(MIR)


Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:


Mon. – (CAT) analyst event

Tue. – The Fed’s Tarullo speaking, (CAT) analyst event


Wed. – (AXP) financial community meeting, BMO Capital Healthcare Conference


Thur. – Oppenheimer Healthcare IT Conference, (VPRT) shareholder meeting, (THQI) shareholder meeting


Fri. – None of note


BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week mixed as less financial sector pessimism, diminishing economic fear, investment manager performance anxiety and mostly positive earnings reports offset more shorting, profit-taking and higher long-term rates. My trading indicators are giving bullish signals and the Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.

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