Weekend Headlines
Bloomberg:
- CME Group Inc.(CME) and the Chicago Board Options Exchange are in informal talks for a takeover, Crain’s said, citing people familiar with the discussions. An acquisition would value CBOE, the largest options marketplace in the
- Following is a comparison of the top political donors from the 1989-2010 election cycle to political party as compiled by the Center for Responsive Politics. The last column is the difference in a firm’s average percentage of donations to Democrats from the 1989 to 2010 cycles compared to its 2010 cycle only donation. For example, Goldman Sachs(GS) has increased its percentage of donations from 64 percent to democrats to 75 percent in the latest cycle only.
- Harvard University’s failed bet that interest rates would rise cost the world’s richest school at least $500 million in payments to escape derivatives that backfired. Harvard paid $497.6 million to investment banks during the fiscal year ended June 30 to get out of $1.1 billion of interest-rate swaps intended to hedge variable-rate debt for capital projects, the school’s annual report said. The university in
- R. Hunter Biden, son of Vice President Joe Biden, won dismissal of a fraud lawsuit alleging he backed out of a deal to acquire an interest in Paradigm Global Advisors parent Paradigm Cos. Stephane Farouze, global head of fund derivatives for Deutsche Bank AG, claimed in a complaint filed in New York state court in Manhattan last year that Biden and his partner Anthony Lotito agreed to purchase Farouze’s interest in Paradigm when they were seeking to take over the company. Biden and Lotito countered that Farouze never held an interest in the hedge fund company and cut him out of the deal, according to court records. The lawsuit had to be dismissed because Farouze failed to allege specific facts about what fraud was committed and the transactions that gave rise to his claims, New York Supreme Court Justice Bernard Fried said in a ruling yesterday.
- Portfolio managers will sell financial stocks when they rise to start buying technology companies such as Cisco Systems Inc., according to Ralph Acampora, a partner at Altaira Wealth Management.
- The Alba trade bloc, led by Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, agreed to create regional mining and agriculture businesses as the group concluded a second day of talks in Bolivia. The group also has plans for an import-export business, to be called Alba Exim, and an energy company, said Bolivian Finance Minister Luis Arce, speaking today at the meeting in
- Federal investigators are gearing up to file charges against a wider array of insider-trading networks, some linked to the criminal case against billionaire hedge-fund manager Raj Rajaratnam that shook Wall Street last week, people familiar with the matter said. The pending crackdown, based on at least two years of investigation, targets securities professionals including hedge- fund managers, lawyers and other Wall Street players, the people said, declining to be identified because the cases aren’t public.
- President Barack Obama is betting his presidency on the success of his health-care bill. The politics of health care may now be costing troops their lives in
Wall Street Journal:
- The hedge-fund billionaire charged as part of a vast insider-trading case surfaced in an earlier, separate probe into U.S. fundraising by a Sri Lankan terrorist group, people familiar with the probe said. As part of that investigation, federal agents said they uncovered documents showing that Raj Rajaratnam, founder of the Galleon Group, was among several wealthy Sri Lankans in the
- Supporters of incumbent President Hamid Karzai demonstrated to protest "foreign interference" in Afghanistan's drawn-out election process, as results of a vote recount were postponed and Karzai campaign officials suggested his camp may not accept the official results. As they await the recount, which aims to throw out fraudulent votes, officials from the Karzai campaign cast aspersions on the process, centering their criticism on the United Nations-backed Electoral Complaints Commission, which is re-tallying the numbers. In the
- Civilian Courts Are No Place to Try Terrorists. We tried the first World Trade Center bombers in civilian courts. In return we got 9/11 and the murder of nearly 3,000 innocents.
- General Electric Co.(GE) and Vivendi SA are about $500 million apart in talks over what Vivendi should be paid for its minority stake in stake in television and movie company NBC Universal, according to people familiar with the matter.
MarketWatch.com:
- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.(TSM) , the world's largest contract chip maker by revenue, may see new record revenue in 2010 due to stronger than expected demand recovery, company chairman Morris Chang said Saturday. "Now I'm more optimistic about the world economy and the industry outlook," Chang told reporters on the sideline of TSMC's annual sports meet in Hsinchu, northern
NY Times:
- Forecast for Microsoft(MSFT): Partly Cloudy.
- Arrest of Hedge Fund Chief Unsettles the Industry.
The Business Insider:
- How did Goldman, Sachs & Co.(GS) -- saved a year ago by the
- 20 Year Old Buys Home With $183,000 FHA Loan And Just 3.5% Down.
CNNMoney.com:
- It's officially official. The Obama administration on Friday said the government ran a $1.42 trillion deficit in fiscal year 2009. That made it the worst year on record since World War II, according to data from the Treasury and the White House Office of Management and Budget. Tax receipts for the year fell 16.6% overall, while spending soared 18.2% compared to fiscal year 2008. The causes: rising unemployment, the economic slowdown and the extraordinary measures taken by lawmakers to stem the economic meltdown that hit in fall 2008. Consequently, the annual deficit rose 212% to the record dollar amount of $1.42 trillion, from $455 billion a year earlier. As a share of the economy, the deficit accounted for 10% of gross domestic product, up from 3.2% in 2008.
LA Times:
- In another sign of how deep the global recession has become, the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach on Friday reported their worst combined import statistics for September in nine years. September is often the busiest month at the nation's biggest port complex, making it one of the best barometers of the health of the economy and international trade. The port of Los Angeles received 309,078 containers packed with imported goods in September, representing a decline of 16% from the same month last year and 27% from September 2006, L.A.'s best month ever for imports.
Politico:
- Former Alaska GOP Gov. Sarah Palin penned a tough but wonky critique Saturday night of the health care bill approved this week by the Senate Finance Committee. In a more than 1,000-word essay posted on her Facebook page shortly before midnight, Palin knocked the bill sponsored by Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.) for not setting up proper cost offsets, but offered none of the more incinedary, "death-panel" type claims that have marked her previous comments. "It attempts to offset the costs this will impose on insurance companies by requiring everyone to purchase coverage, which in theory would expand the pool of paying policy holders," Palin wrote. "However, the maximum fine for those who refuse to purchase health insurance is $750. Even factoring in government subsidies, the cost of purchasing a plan is much more than $750." "The result: many people, especially the young and healthy, will simply not buy coverage, choosing to pay the fine instead," the former Alaska governor continued. "They’ll wait until they’re sick to buy health insurance, confident in the knowledge that insurance companies can’t deny them coverage. Such a scenario is a perfect storm for increasing the cost of health care and creating an unsustainable mandate program."
- The president of one of
Rasmussen Reports:
Rolling Stone:
- A federal investigation into defense contracts awarded through congressional earmarks is increasingly focused on a former top aide to Rep. Peter J. Visclosky (D-Ind.) who worked with the congressman on funding requests from clients of a powerful lobbying firm, according to two sources familiar with the probe. Investigators have gathered evidence that Charles E. Brimmer, Visclosky's former longtime chief of staff, suggested to some lobbyists that companies seeking Visclosky's help in getting Pentagon funds would need to commit to a program of donations to the member of the Appropriations defense subcommittee, the sources said. The Justice Department is trying to determine whether Brimmer's proposal constituted quid pro quo, an illegal act in which a public official requests something of value in exchange for an official action.
- Three months before he was elected president, Barack Obama vowed not only to reform health care but also to pass the legislation in an unprecedented way. "I'm going to have all the negotiations around a big table," he said at an appearance in Chester, Va., repeating an assertion he made many times. He said the discussions would be "televised on C-SPAN, so that people can see who is making arguments on behalf of their constituents and who are making arguments on behalf of the drug companies or the insurance companies." But now, as a Senate vote on health-care legislation nears, those negotiations are occurring in a setting that is anything but revolutionary in Washington: Three senators are working on the bill behind closed doors. Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) sits at the head of a wooden table at his office as he and Sens. Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.) and Max Baucus (D-Mont.) work to merge two competing versions of health-care legislation into one bill. The three men will be joined by top aides as well as by members of President Obama's health-care team, led by White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel. The sessions started on Wednesday and could be completed this week. The group will make such key decisions as whether to include a government-run insurance plan designed to compete with private insurance companies. In the sessions, Dodd in effect represents advocates of the government-insurance option and Baucus represents those less committed to that proposal. The tie-breaking votes are likely to be Reid and, on Obama's behalf, Emanuel. Obama and Reid have said they personally back the government-insurance option but have not ruled out supporting a bill that lacks such a provision. Although much of the writing of legislation happens in closed-door meetings, congressional Republicans have sharply criticized the ongoing process. "This bill is being written in the dark of night," said House Minority Leader John A. Boehner (R-Ohio), adding that "the president ought to keep his promise to the American people and open this process up." The Senate negotiations are now an invitation-only affair in Reid's office. The majority leader is unlikely to expand his group, even as some senators unhappy with parts of the legislation, such as John D. Rockefeller IV (D-W.Va.), have asked to be in the room. Reid, in particular, faces a balancing act. As majority leader, he is tasked with shepherding the bill and ensuring that it has the support of conservative Democrats necessary for passage. But liberal activists who could raise money and help him win next year, including the group MoveOn.org, are demanding he aggressively back the public option.
- Don’t Settle for Stalemate in Afghanistan by Ike Skelton and Joe Lieberman. Six months ago the Obama administration concluded that the only way to stop Afghanistan's slide into insecurity and prevent the reemergence of a terrorist haven was to put in place an integrated counterinsurgency strategy focused on protecting the Afghan population, building up the Afghan national security forces and improving Afghan governance. We strongly supported the president's decision and continue to believe that he was right. He also made the right decision last week when, in a meeting with congressional leaders, he ruled out withdrawing
USAToday:
- A Goldman Sachs (GS) executive has been named the first chief operating officer of the Securities and Exchange Commission's enforcement division. The market watchdog agency said Friday that Adam Storch, vice president in Goldman Sachs' Business Intelligence Group, is assuming the new position of managing executive of the SEC division. The move came as the SEC has been revamping its enforcement efforts following the agency's failure to uncover Bernard Madoff's massive fraud scheme for nearly two decades despite numerous red flags.
AP:
- Brazilian officials are insisting security won't be a problem for the 2016 Olympics despite drug-gang violence that plunged Rio de Janeiro into a day of bloody chaos just two weeks after it was picked to host the games. An hourslong firefight between rival gangs in one of the city's slums killed at least 12 people, injured six and saw a police helicopter shot down and eight buses set on fire Saturday. Police said Sunday that they killed two other suspected drug traffickers in overnight clashes near the Morro dos Macacos ("Monkey Hill") slum where the gangs fought for territory a day earlier, but otherwise the area was largely peaceful as 2,000 officers were put on patrol to maintain order. Two officers died and four were injured Saturday when bullets from the gang battle ripped into their helicopter hovering overhead, forcing it into a fiery crash landing on a soccer field. Officials said they did not know if the gangs targeted the helicopter or it was hit by stray bullets. Gunfire on the ground killed 10 suspected gunmen and wounded two bystanders. Authorities said the violence would only toughen their resolve to improve security ahead of the Olympics and before 2014, when
- President Barack Obama's communications director says it was Fox News Channel, not the White House, that picked a fight. Yet it was Anita Dunn's words during a CNN interview last week, saying Fox is like "a wing of the Republican Party," that ignited one of the most unusual verbal volleys between a presidential administration and journalists since Vice President Spiro Agnew complained during the Nixon years about the "nattering nabobs of negativism." Fox's coverage of health care demonstrations over the summer, former administration official Van Jones and the community activists ACORN clearly knocked the administration off stride. Fox said network executives have been told that no one from the administration would appear on a Fox show as a guest through the end of the year. Last week on his show, Beck placed a red phone on his desk, saying it was a hot line available to Dunn anytime she thought something untrue about Obama was being said on his show. "I don't think the White House actually wants a dialogue," Beck said. "They want to smear, isolate and destroy." Beck uncovered a speech Dunn had given where she referred to Mother Teresa and Mao Tse-Tung as "two of my favorite political philosophers." "I would think that what this reflects is a pent-up frustration or rage at the coverage they get, not only from Fox but elsewhere," said David Gergen, a CNN commentator and former White House aide. Gergen said he understands the temptation to go on the attack — he's done it himself — but it frequently turns out to be a mistake." My experience has been when the White House engages in personal or organizational attacks, it elevates the other side to virtually the same level of the White House, which is not their intent," he said. "It's going to spike Fox's ratings," which are already high this year. "Whether or not you like Fox News, all of us in the press need to be concerned about the administration of President Barack Obama trying to `punish' the cable news channel for its point of view," wrote television critic David Zurawik in the Baltimore Sun. Research has shown that Fox, easily the top-rated cable news network, has independents and moderates in its audience that the president shouldn't ignore, she said. In a written statement Sunday, Clemente accused the White House of continuing to "declare war on a news organization" rather than focusing on issues such as jobs and health care. "The door remains open and we welcome a discussion about the facts behind the issues," he said.
Reuters:
- General Motors Co's bid to find an outsider to replace its chief financial officer is being complicated by pay restrictions imposed on companies that got big U.S. government bailouts, The Wall Street Journal said on Saturday.
Financial Times:
- Google(GOOG) is actively exploring a number of acquisitions as it prepares to embark on an ambitious phase of growth following the downturn, according to Eric Schmidt, chief executive. "We are clearly in the market" for deals, Mr Schmidt said, speaking in an interview with the Financial Times after the company announced earnings late on Thursday. He refused to comment on specific targets, but singled out acquisitions as an important part of the company's expansion plans. It is turning its attention back to long-term growth after an uncharacteristic focus on cost-cutting in recent months. But the Google chief also sought to reassure Wall Street that the company's next investment wave will be more disciplined than before. "We put in a lot of the management and expense control we should have had at the company years earlier," he said of internal changes the company had made during the downturn. The next wave of investment was likely to be in the new areas of advertising Google was trying to build to complement its existing search business, executives indicated. They made strongly positive comments about the growth in Google's display, video and mobile advertising businesses on Thursday. Although the company does not issue separate figures for these markets, Mr Schmidt said the number of searches conducted on mobile phones had risen 30 per cent compared with three months earlier, an indication of how fast the new markets are growing. Much of Google's spending was likely to be in areas that did not directly produce revenue, such as its Chrome OS operating system for small PCs and its Android software for mobile phones, it indicated. "Those strategies are very revenue-enhacing," the Google chief said. "Those Android phones will generate a lot of . . revenue through mobile ads."
Folha de S. Paulo:
- Antonio Quintella, president of the Brazilian unit of Credit Suisse Group, expects a slow economic recovery in
Aljazeera.net:
- Iran has promised a swift and crushing response to a suicide attack in the country's Sistan-Baluchestan province that killed at least 35 people, including 11 Revolutionary Guards commanders.
Weekend Recommendations
Barron's:
- Made positive comments on (CME), (FISV), (DMRC), (MERX), (CSCD), (APC), (CWX), (EXH) and (ANSS).
Citigroup:
- Rated (MRVL) Buy, target $21.
- Reiterated Buy on (HAL), target $34.
Night Trading
Asian indices are -.75% to +.25% on avg.
Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index 102.50 +7.50 basis points.
S&P 500 futures -.33%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.25%.
Morning Preview
BNO Breaking Global News of Note
Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories
MarketWatch Pre-market Commentary
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades
Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- (GCI)/.40
- (HAS)/.92
- (ETN)/.90
- (BBT)/.25
- (ATHR)/.38
- (TXN)/.40
- (LNCR)/.52
- (AAPL)/1.42
- (RLI)/.94
- (IEX)/.35
- (BSX)/.14
- (STLD)/.21
- (BRO)/.29
- (PKG)/.25
- (WERN)/.20
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Economic Releases
1:00 pm EST
- The NAHB Housing Market Index for October is estimated to rise to 20.0 versus 19.0 in September.
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed’s Bernanke speaking, TAF Auction, BOJ Minutes and the (DTE) analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by commodity and industrial stocks in the region. I expect
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