Thursday, November 08, 2012

Stocks Dropping into Final Hour on Election Pessimism, Rising Eurozone Debt Angst, US Fiscal Cliff Worries, Global Growth Fears

 Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 18.17 -4.77%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 70.0 -4.2%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 -9.92%
  • NYSE Arms 1.09 -52.91%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 103.46 bps +3.23%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 175.03 bps +.28%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 112.59 bps +1.27%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 232.55 bps +.45%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 22.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.75 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% unch.
  • Yield Curve 136.0 -1 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $121.40/Metric Tonne -.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 59.60 +9.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.46 -1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -73 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech and retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (AAPL) long, covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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