Thursday, November 15, 2012

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on More Mideast Unrest, Global Growth Worries, US Fiscal Cliff Fears, Rising Eurozone Debt Angst

 Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 18.26 +1.9%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 -1.2%
  • Total Put/Call 1.19 +9.17%
  • NYSE Arms .72 -46.42%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 111.57 bps +2.86%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 186.97 bps +3.14%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 116.49 bps +.04%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 248.75 bps +2.35%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.5 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 23.5 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.25 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 133.0 -1 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $122.80/Metric Tonne +.33%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 50.70 -10.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.37 -5 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +35 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -11 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my Tech, Medical, Biotech and Retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM), (QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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