Friday, February 15, 2013

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Technical Selling, Profit-Taking, Commodity/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 12.80 +1.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 136.0 +25.93%
  • Total Put/Call .88 +7.32%
  • NYSE Arms 1.47 +59.15%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 87.03 +1.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 142.05 +1.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 99.66 -.33%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 231.92 +.12%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 19.50 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% unch.
  • Yield Curve 174.0 +1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $155.10/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -2.0 +3.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.55 -2 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +120 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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