Monday, February 25, 2013

Stocks Reversing Sharply Lower on Surging Eurozone Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Technical Selling, Financial/Homebuilding/Commodity Sector Weakness

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 16.83 +18.77%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 -16.67%
  • Total Put/Call 1.12 +21.74%
  • NYSE Arms 1.65 +137.60%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 89.20 +3.31%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 150.49 +.31%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 98.60 -1.95%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 235.95 +.60%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 17.0 +.25 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .12% unch.
  • Yield Curve 164.0 -7 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $151.90/Metric Tonne -1.11%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.0 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.52 -2 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -287 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -108 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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