Friday, December 13, 2013

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Stable Long-Term Rates, Investor Performance Angst, Short-Covering, Defense/Metals & Mining Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.43 -.71%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.75 -.33%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.08 -.55%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.39 +1.26%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 138.0 -2.13%
  • Total Put/Call .81 +15.71%
  • NYSE Arms 1.21 +23.0% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.91 -.34%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 97.43 -.27%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 56.36 +.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 277.46 +.89%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 1.0 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 254.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $136.0/Metric Tonne -1.38%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 32.10 +.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.0 -.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.16 +2 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +157 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +20 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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