Monday, December 30, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Profit-Taking, Financial/Commodity Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.45 +7.95%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 151.33 +.36%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.25 -.11%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.53 +2.62%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 91.0 -1.09%
  • Total Put/Call .72 unch.
  • NYSE Arms 1.13 +73.53% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.73 +.75%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.73 +2.57%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.85 -1.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 273.87 +.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.5 unch.
  • TED Spread 18.50 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 259.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $134.20/Metric Tonne +.15%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 50.20 +.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.70 +2.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +54 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +49 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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