Thursday, January 02, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Surging Yen, Technical Selling, Transport/Technology Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.48 +5.69%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 149.05 -1.28%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.58 +3.79%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.15 +2.71%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 82.0 -46.41%
  • Total Put/Call .87 +33.85%
  • NYSE Arms 1.12 +46.76% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.34 +1.58%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.02 -2.49%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 56.0 -6.11%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 278.46 +1.82%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 260.0 -5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $135.0/Metric Tonne +.6%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 53.30 +1.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.10 +2.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -275 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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