Friday, January 03, 2014

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Stable Long-Term Rates, Short-Covering, Financial/Healthcare Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.76 -3.30%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.40 -.72%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.39 -2.49%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.24 +.57%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 115.0 +4.55%
  • Total Put/Call .91 +9.64%
  • NYSE Arms 1.18 -7.34% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.62 -1.04%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 83.45 -1.85%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 54.0 -3.57%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 274.12 -1.66%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.0 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.25 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 260.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $135.0/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 53.40 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.4 +3.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -206 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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