Thursday, March 13, 2014

Stocks Substantially Lower into Final Hour on Rising European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Global Growth Fears, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.19 +11.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.92 -1.45%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.83 -.90%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.52 +4.96%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 73.0 -23.16%
  • Total Put/Call .95 -1.04%
  • NYSE Arms 2.13 +94.0% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.45 +3.32%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 94.84 +5.91%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 49.01 unch.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 101.02 +.81%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 327.78 +1.49%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 372.16 +1.76%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.13 +.89%
  • TED Spread 19.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 231.0 -5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $111.50/Metric Tonne +3.82%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -30.10 +4.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.20 -5.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -430 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -85 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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