Friday, March 07, 2014

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Rising Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Surging Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Bioetch/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.33 +.84%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 149.47 +.31%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.67 -.23%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.76 +.62%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 121.0 -37.54%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -2.47%
  • NYSE Arms 1.0 +35.77% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.91 +.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.88 +.15%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 48.68 -2.01%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 95.86 +1.96%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 309.61 +4.41%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 355.45 -1.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.75 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% unch.
  • Yield Curve 241.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $114.2/Metric Tonne -2.31%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -31.20 -3.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 14.30 +2.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -5 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +27 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, added to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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