Thursday, December 10, 2015

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Seasonal Optimism, Financial/Healthcare Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.70 -4.64%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.94 -.69%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.92 +2.92%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.32 -3.13%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 67.0 +1.52%
  • Total Put/Call 1.22 +34.07%
  • NYSE Arms .60 -16.24
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 86.64 +.84%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,557.0 -2.56%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 73.32 +1.36%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 16.43 -.60%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 72.85 +1.62%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 354.60 +3.35%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 123.63 -.21%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.25 +4.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -38.0 -6.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.65 -.42%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .23% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 129.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $38.52/Metric Tonne -1.43%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -23.80 -1.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 16.20 -.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 11.90 +.8 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.53 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) .88 -.04
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +134 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -288 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +43 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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