Friday, November 04, 2016

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less US High-Yield Debt Angst, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Biotech/Healthcare Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 21.34 -3.22%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 119.79 +.27%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.63 +2.41%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 65.76 -2.84%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 119.0 +158.7%
  • Total Put/Call 1.39 +15.83%
  • NYSE Arms 1.02 +19.88
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 80.44 -.04%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 655.0 -1.95%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 100.14 +.92%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.44 +2.05%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 36.43 +.18%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 250.33 -1.15%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.59 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.25 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 51.50 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -46.0 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.07 -.21%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .37% unch.
  • Yield Curve 100.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $65.0/Metric Tonne -.7%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.90 +.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 36.2 -7.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.0 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.69% -2.0 basis points
  • 78.9% chance of Fed rate hike at Feb. 1 meeting, 80.6% chance at March 15 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -15 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -17 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -25 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/retail sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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