Monday, May 01, 2017

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Healthcare/Tax Reform Hopes, Earnings Optimism, Yen Weakness, Tech/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.24 -5.36%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.30 +.34%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.67 +.70%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.79 -3.15%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 91.0 +26.39%
  • Total Put/Call .83 -13.54%
  • NYSE Arms 1.0 -15.18%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.31 -.8%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 372.0 -.24%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.05 -.20%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 9.31 +1.53%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.43 +.74%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 195.54 +.03%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 137.19 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 30.0 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 37.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -33.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.32 +.03%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .80% unch.
  • Yield Curve 104.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.80/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -20.60 -15.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 68.50 -1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.3 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.93 -1.0 basis point
  • 69.7% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 72.0% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +65 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -5 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +29 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: