Wednesday, May 03, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Concerns, Fed Rate Hike Fears, Profit-Taking, Telecom/Hospital Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.80 +1.98%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.11 +.23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.47 -1.17%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.45 +8.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 71.0 -25.26%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +40.0%
  • NYSE Arms .78 -23.21%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.74 -.62%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 373.0 +.1%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 71.29 -1.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 8.26 -14.5%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.74 -1.18%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.78 +.74%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 137.10 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.0 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 31.5 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -32.25 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.42 -.07%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .86% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 102.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.68/Metric Tonne -.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -19.50 +2.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 65.80 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 33.0 -1.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 -1.0 basis point
  • 88.4% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 93.1% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +170 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -20 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On gains in my retail/biotech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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