Wednesday, July 26, 2017

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Earnings Optimism, Oil Gain, Biotech/REIT Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.39 -.42%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.98 +.03%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.51 -.40%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 27.82 +8.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 62.0 -40.95%
  • Total Put/Call .70 -12.5%
  • NYSE Arms 1.13 +95.72%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.21 +.08%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 431.0 -2.32%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 50.14 -.37%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 4.93 +16.71%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.36 -1.62%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 192.11 -1.6%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 140.38 -.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.25 +5.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.0 +2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.94 +.53%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.12% -3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 93.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $70.43/Metric Tonne +1.37%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -44.40 +1.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 13.60 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.60 +.5 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.80 -1.0 basis points
  • 19.7% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 1 meeting, 48.6% chance at Dec. 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -20 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +8 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -39 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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