Thursday, November 09, 2017

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Diminishing Tax Reform Hopes, Yen Strength, Profit-Taking, Tech/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.7 +9.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.44 -.15%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.13 +.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 17.53 +7.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 530 -32.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.1 +12.2%
  • NYSE Arms .64 -34.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 55.88 +2.16%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 365.0 +2.13%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.0 +.35%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 4.06 +1.5%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 16.07 +2.32%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.46 +1.40%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.20 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.25 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -44.75 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.49 +.07%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.23% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 69.5 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.32/Metric Tonne +.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 40.0 -1.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 61.40 +1.0 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 14.90 -1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 +1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -283 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -13 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -29 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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