Thursday, November 30, 2017

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Tax Reform Hopes, Economic Optimism, Yen Weakness, Energy/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.0 +2.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.48 +.88%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.98 +.38%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation n/a
  • ISE Sentiment Index 110.0 +32.5%
  • Total Put/Call .76 +8.57%
  • NYSE Arms .97 +64.98%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.28 -1.12%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 386.0 -.86%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 46.84 +1.05%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.49 -.57%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.77 -1.33%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 181.52 -.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.60 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -47.25 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.24 -.08%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.26% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 62.75 +1.25 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.13/Metric Tonne +.31%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 59.40 +.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 71.30 -10.6 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 1.60 -8.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 +1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +204 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +77 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +26 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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