Thursday, May 07, 2020

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Global Stimulus Hopes, Economy Re-Opening Optimism, Short-Covering, Financial/Commodity Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 31.3 -8.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 119.24 +.44%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.2 +1.16%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 71.77 -5.78%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 115.0 +9.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .81 -5.81%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 -37.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 91.66 -1.12%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 1,283.44 -.01%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 106.79 +.32%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 246.5 -1.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 120.17 -.15%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 342.87 -1.78%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 163.98 +.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 37.25 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.75 -.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  117.0 +10.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 58.0 +.32%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 51.75 +7.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 84.08 USD/Metric Tonne +3.4%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -104.30 -2.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -293.40 -18.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.90 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.08 -2.0 basis points
  • 99.3% chance of no change at July 29th meeting, 99.3% chance of no change at Sept. 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +116 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -125 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -51 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: