Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Higher
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
- Volume: Above Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 27.9 -.36%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 122.74 +.22%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.7 +1.4%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.7 -2.6%
- ISE Sentiment Index 105.0 +16.0 points
- Total Put/Call .87 +8.8%
- NYSE Arms .79 -26.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 80.53 -5.69%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 1,029.66 -1.32%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 82.52 -3.65%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 191.50 +1.5 basis points
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 101.31 -3.69%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 291.22 -.04%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 166.20 +.34%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 8.5 -.5 basis point
- TED Spread 23.5 -1.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.5 -1.5 basis points
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 116.0 +3.0 basis points
- IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 64.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.97 -.13%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .14% +2.0 basis points
- Yield Curve 52.75 +3.75 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 93.92 USD/Metric Tonne +2.12%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -75.30 +3.9 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -251.0 -4.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 8.8 +1.1 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.13 -1.0 basis point
- 99.3% chance of no change at July 29th meeting, 99.3% chance of no change at Sept. 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +156 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -23 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +43 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/consumer staple/industrial sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
- Market Exposure: 50% Net Long
1 comment:
Hi Gary,
NOw that we have broken thru the 200ma, are we going higher? Or do we need confirmation with a 50/200ma cross, which could be weeks away?
Read your blog every day for many years. It is the best.
JC
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