- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(481 of 500 reporting) +7.7% unch.
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 256.87 +.58: Growth Rate +12.7% +.3 percentage point, P/E 20.7 -.1
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.89% +1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(9 of 10 reporting) +52.9% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 328.88 +.34: Growth Rate +22.6% +.1 percentage point, P/E 32.1 -.1
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.06 -4.0 basis points
- Bloomberg Euro-Zone Financial Conditions Index 1.06 +9.0 basis points
- US Yield Curve -48.5 basis points (2s/10s) -2.5 basis points
- US Atlanta Fed 2Q GDPNow Forecast +3.5% -10.0 basis points
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 46.8% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.74% unch.: CPI YoY +3.37% unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.33 +1.0 basis point
- Highest target rate probability for July 31st FOMC meeting: 88.9%(unch.) chance of 5.25%-5.5%. Highest target rate probability for Sept. 18th meeting: 50.2%(+1.8 percentage points) chance of 5.25%-5.5%.
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +130 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating +5 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +62 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my financial/consumer discretionary/industrial/tech sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long
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