Sunday, March 08, 2026

Monday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business   
  • @Zerohedge
  • @CNBC
  • @MarioNawful
  • @sentdefender
  • @Amy_K_Nelson
  • @WallStreetApes
  • I verified this and it’s true. “Lab-grown chocolate is coming to shelves in 2027. Oreo, Cadbury and Toblerone are already funding the Israeli biotech producing it because a lab is cheaper than a farm”. “Cadbury has been quietly replacing your chocolate — This dairy milk isn't legal chocolate in 27 countries, the cocoa butter was replaced with vegetable fat, a cheap blend of 6 industrial oils. What remains is diluted with polyglycerol — Soon even that gets replaced, you'll be eating cells grown in a pharmaceutical tank”. Cadbury Dairy Milk (in the UK and many markets) has included vegetable fats (like palm and shea) alongside cocoa butter for years. UK/EU regulations allow up to 5% non-cocoa vegetable fats in chocolate if it meets minimum cocoa solids (20%) and other standards. In America standards are much lower. (video)
  • @DataRepublican
  • @ShadowofEzra
  • @DropSiteNews
  • @EricLDaugh
  • @BGatesIsaPsycho
  • @OSINTEurope  
  • @NickSortor
  • @EmeraldRobinson
  • @sayerjigmi
  • Today the WSJ published a piece on Epstein "conspiracy theories" — cannibalism, beef jerky as human flesh, baby farms. Also today, I published 24 federal DOJ exhibits documenting Epstein's 8-year operational cloning program: his cells in liquid nitrogen at Harvard, a $9.5M designer baby company, an overseas surgical lab structured to evade US law. For context: the phrase "designer baby" isn't fringe vocabulary. The NIH indexes a peer-reviewed university genetics curriculum built entirely around it. They covered the beef jerky crowd. They didn't mention the exhibits. They didn't mention the NIH. You decide what's a conspiracy theory: (thread)
  • @KobeissiLetter
  • @DanielGilr44222
  • @Worldsource24
  • @MattWallace888
  • @BreitbartNews.
  • @JuneGoh_Sparta
  • @TheInsidePaper
  • @DC_Draino
  • @NoAlphaLimits
  • IRAN JUST TOLD THE U.S. AND ISRAEL: "PAY US OR THE WAR DOESN'T END." THIS IS NOT A BLUFF. Ali Larijani, Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, just made a statement that should TERRIFY every market on Earth: "The war will end only when Iran's adversaries understand they no longer have the right to violate Iranian territory and agree to pay COMPENSATION for the damages caused." Let that sink in. Iran isn't negotiating. Iran is setting TERMS...
  • @AdityaRajKaul
  • @matttttt187 
  • @amuse
  • @BrandonStraka
  • @OSINT613
  • @Conflict_Radar
  • @ThePatriotOasis
  • BREAKING: A list has been released naming the GOP senators who are either openly opposed or expressing skepticism toward using the talking filibuster to pass the SAVE America Act. - Leader John Thune. - John Cornyn. - Lisa Murkowski. - Katie Britt. - John Curtis. - Kevin Cramer. - Thom Tillis. These holdouts are now under scrutiny as pressure mounts for Republicans to unite and deliver on key America First priorities. The talking Filibuster is the only realistic path forward without securing 60 votes in the Senate. (video)
  • @JinWooIQ
  • @MRefaat_Formal
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -6.0% to -2.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 82.75 +10.75 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 49.75 +5.25 basis points.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 103.5 USD/Metric Tonne +1.9%.
  • Crude Oil 117.2/bbl. +28.7%
  • Gold 5,081.9 USD/t oz. -1.4% 
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.86 +.12%. 
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 35.58 -.18%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 96.0 +1.3%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.21% +7.0 basis points. 
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.49% +9.0 basis points. 
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 26.9 +7.4%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -3.0%.
  • S&P 500 futures -2.3%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -2.6%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are sharply lower, weighed down by transport and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open sharply lower and to maintain losses into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the week.

Saturday, March 07, 2026

Today's Headlines

Around X:

  • @IGSquawk 
  • @BarronsOnline
  • Had bullish commentary on (LNG), (NEXT), (VG) and (CDRE).
  • @MarioNawfal
  • @GenFlynn
  • @natalimorris
  • @EricLDaugh
  • @NoLimitGains
  • IRAN JUST MADE A MOVE THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING: Iran’s president just said neighboring countries will no longer be attacked. Sounds like de-escalation. It’s not. It’s actually the opposite. Most people are going to completely misread this. Here’s what’s really happening: “Unless an attack on Iran is launched from their territory.” The U.S. is literally launching strikes on Iran FROM those countries right now. Al Udeid in Qatar. Al Dhafra in the UAE. Ali Al Salem in Kuwait. Bases in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman. That’s where American bombers, fighters, and drones are flying from. Iran isn’t saying “we’ll stop.” They’re saying “tell America to leave or we keep hitting you.” This is a pressure play on the Gulf states.
  • A VERY DANGEROUS CLAIM IS CIRCULATING RIGHT NOW: Before you believe it, you need to read the full breakdown below. Reports are circulating that the U.S. struck a freshwater desalination plant on Qeshm Island in Iran. Iran’s Foreign Minister is warning of “consequences.” There is NO verified proof this happened. – No satellite imagery. – No confirmation from the Pentagon or CENTCOM. – No independent verification from any major outlet. The source is Iranian state-affiliated media. That doesn’t mean it’s fake, but it doesn’t mean it’s confirmed either. Now here’s where it gets important...
  • @RenzTom
  • @seanmdav
  • @sungleeiq
  • @Chicago1Ray
  • @1776General_
  • @illuminatibot
  • @MonitorX99800  
  • @jayplemons
  • @liz_churchill10
  • Child Traffickers were in charge of all ‘Science’… Robert Maxwell headed the Scientific Journal System that controlled ‘Science’ for decades. Bill Gates invested $10M in ResearchGate…that has 25 MILLION members. Epstein and Gates decided what research got amplified… (video)
  • @LoneStar_PAC
  • @nedryun
  • @barchart
  • @KobeissiLetter
  • @nypost
  • @Worldsource24
  • @Olivia_Reingold
  • @WatcherGuru
  • @pati_marins64
  • @TrendSpider
  • @mboyle1
  • @OANN
  • @sayerjigmi
  • @OcrazioCornPop
  • @mtaibbi
  • @TFTC21
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @amuse
  • @GeneralMCNews
  • @BreannaMorello
OpenVAERS:  
SKirsch.com:

Friday, March 06, 2026

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 6,758.6 -1.7%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 47,505.5 -3.0%
  • NASDAQ 22,493.7 -.6%
  • Russell 2000 2,535.3 -3.8%
  • NYSE FANG+ 14,980.5 +3.7%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 258.8 +3.4%
  • Vaneck Social Sentiment 31.2 +1.5%
  • Wilshire 5000 66,743.9 -1.8%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 4,521.8 -.3%
  • Russell 1000 Value 2,140.9 -3.5%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 952.1 -5.0%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 247.6 +.5%
  • NYSE Technology 7,086.0 unch.
  • Transports 18,427.9 -6.4%
  • Utilities 1,171.9 -1.5%
  • MSCI Europe Banks 112.8 -6.7%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 57.6 -7.5%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 257.8 +.9%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 134.0 +.3%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 607,071 -.7%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.8 -2.2%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -9 -801
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -20.8 -18.5%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 172,712 +22.2%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,102,705 +.7%
  • Total Put/Call .92+11.8%
  • OEX Put/Call .37 +9.2%
  • ISE Sentiment 130.0 +8.8%
  • NYSE Arms .69 -25.6%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 97.1 -1.0%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .38 -23.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.25 -27.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 26.7 +30.7%
  • S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .92 +22.9%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 21.0 +40.7%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.33 +12.1%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.66 +24.6%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 20,532.6 +3.6%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  79.3 +4.4
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.817 Trillion +.3%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$5.743 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 33.1 -.3%
  • AAII % Bears 35.5 -10.8%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 28.0 (FEAR) -14.0
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 336.9 +8.7%
  • Crude Oil 91.3/bbl. +34.6%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 275.5 +18.1%
  • Natural Gas 3.19 +11.9%
  • US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 72.8 USD/Megawatt +4.2% 
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 53.4 euros/megawatt-hour +67.4%
  • Heating Oil 362.4 +37.8% 
  • Newcastle Coal 137.0 (1,000/metric ton) +17.6%
  • Gold 5,166.2 -2.4%
  • Silver 84.5 -10.3%
  • Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 172.2 +.4%
  • Copper 582.4 -3.3%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 378.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.5%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 102.3 USD/Metric Tonne +3.1%
  • China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 23,625.0 USD/metric tonne +11.1%
  • CME Lumber 585.0 +4.8%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,342.8 +3.2%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 Forecast +3.0% -.1 percentage point
  • US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 27.6 -3.3 percentage points
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.48 -5.0%
  • Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 597.5 +299.8% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 552.8 +276.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.3 -3.0
  • DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(493 of 500 reporting) +13.7% -.9 percentage point
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 323.77 +2.16:  Growth Rate +16.6% +.8 percentage point, P/E 21.1 -.4
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 14.76% unch.
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +28.1% +.1 percentage point
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 512.03 +9.38: Growth Rate +31.1% +6.5 percentage points, P/E 28.8 +.6
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 29.6 -2.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 22.2 +2.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 38.0 +1.3 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 4.4%(-3.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 95.6%(+3.0 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26
  • US Dollar Index 99.0 +1.3%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,857.9 -1.4%
  • Bitcoin/USD 68,267.2 +4.1%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 208.1 -.7%
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.89 -.32%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) 58.5 +.75 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.11% +15.0 basis points
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.41% +6.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.581 Trillion +.23%
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.756 Billion +2.8%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.6 +5.1%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 190.1 +1.5%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 76.0 +13.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.3 +3.7%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.4 +2.%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 136.4 +2.2%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 87.0 +.2%
  • Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 57.8 +11.4%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.4 +2.3%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.44 -.9%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 119.20 -1.3%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.9% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.9% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.95% unch.: CPI YoY +2.41% unch.
  • 1-Year TIPS Spread 4.47 +63.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.35 +9.0 basis points
  • Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 1.75 +1.0 basis point
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -17.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 -4.0 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 57.9 +3.7%
  • BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 73.0 +.44%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 112.0 -28.5%
  • High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 548.7 -2.2% 
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 275.0 +12.0 
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 65.0 +10.2%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 144.5 +7.4%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 113.0 +6.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 581.0 unch.
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .48 -2.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.3% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,397.0B -.7%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 215,750 -2.2%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 53.7 -3.0%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.11% -3.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 377,500 +11.0%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +6.8% unch.
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +17.0% +14.0 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $100.7M -39.7%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.32/gallon +.34/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,138.0 -.09%
  • Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,958.1/40 ft Box +3.1%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,054.3 +.9%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 300.0 +160.9%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 117.2 +4.4%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 278,598 -.7%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,615,896 +19.4% 
  • Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 94.0 +n/a
  • Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 92.0% +n/a
  • Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% unch.
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth unch.
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth -3.9%
Leading Sectors
  • Software +7.7%
  • Energy +5.4%
  • Computer Services +5.1%
  • Cyber Security +4.4%
  • Internet +1.2%
Lagging Sectors
  • Construction -8.1%
  • Homebuilding -8.3%
  • Steel -9.3%
  • Gold & Silver -11.6%
  • Airlines -14.3%%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (32)
  • DAWN, MRVL, TECX, IOT, BATL, AMPX, RCAT, SWBI, AAOI, UAMY, UMAC, GCO, LION, TRDA, JD, KRMN, AGRO, MUSA, WSR, PBR, GWRE, EQNR, CF, SOC, PBR, SOC, EC, VIST, ONDS, NTES, YPF and LNG
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (37)
  • PSNY, ECO, JBTM, UAL, DHT, BILI, MTW, DAL, COO, SBLK, TFII, BC, BMA, AERO, SFBS, GNK, LPG, HSHP, LFUS, HUN, GLW, AMPH, PONY, EMBJ, BLK, FWRD, AXTI, VSCO, WAL, JEF, WOLF, GAP and ALOY
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change