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| S&P 500 6,758.6 -1.7% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 47,505.5 -3.0%
- NASDAQ 22,493.7 -.6%
- Russell 2000 2,535.3 -3.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 14,980.5 +3.7%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 258.8 +3.4%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 31.2 +1.5%
- Wilshire 5000 66,743.9 -1.8%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,521.8 -.3%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,140.9 -3.5%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 952.1 -5.0%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 247.6 +.5%
- NYSE Technology 7,086.0 unch.
- Transports 18,427.9 -6.4%
- Utilities 1,171.9 -1.5%
- MSCI Europe Banks 112.8 -6.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 57.6 -7.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 257.8 +.9%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 134.0 +.3%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 607,071 -.7%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.8 -2.2%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -9 -801
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -20.8 -18.5%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 172,712 +22.2%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,102,705 +.7%
- Total Put/Call .92+11.8%
- OEX Put/Call .37 +9.2%
- ISE Sentiment 130.0 +8.8%
- NYSE Arms .69 -25.6%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 97.1 -1.0%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .38 -23.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.25 -27.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 26.7 +30.7%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .92 +22.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 21.0 +40.7%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.33 +12.1%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.66 +24.6%
- Smart Money Flow Index 20,532.6 +3.6%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 79.3 +4.4
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.817 Trillion +.3%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$5.743 Million
- AAII % Bulls 33.1 -.3%
- AAII % Bears 35.5 -10.8%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 28.0 (FEAR) -14.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 336.9 +8.7%
- Crude Oil 91.3/bbl. +34.6%
- Reformulated Gasoline 275.5 +18.1%
- Natural Gas 3.19 +11.9%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 72.8 USD/Megawatt +4.2%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 53.4 euros/megawatt-hour +67.4%
- Heating Oil 362.4 +37.8%
- Newcastle Coal 137.0 (1,000/metric ton) +17.6%
- Gold 5,166.2 -2.4%
- Silver 84.5 -10.3%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 172.2 +.4%
- Copper 582.4 -3.3%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 378.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.5%
- China Iron Ore Spot 102.3 USD/Metric Tonne +3.1
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 23,625.0 USD/metric tonne +11.1%
- CME Lumber 585.0 +4.8%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,342.8 +3.2%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 Forecast +3.0% -.1 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 27.6 -3.3 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.48 -5.0%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 552.8 +276.0%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.3 -3.0
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(493 of 500 reporting) +13.7% -.9 percentage point
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 323.77 +2.16: Growth Rate +16.6% +.8 percentage point, P/E 21.1 -.4
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 14.76% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +28.1% +.1 percentage point
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 512.03 +9.38: Growth Rate +31.1% +6.5 percentage points, P/E 28.8 +.6
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 29.6 -2.3 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 22.2 +2.6 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 38.0 +1.3 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 4.4%(-3.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 95.6%(+3.0 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26
- US Dollar Index 99.0 +1.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,857.9 -1.4%
- Bitcoin/USD 68,267.2 +4.1%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 208.1 -.7%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.89 -.32%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 58.5 +.75 basis point
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.11% +15.0 basis points
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.41% +6.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.581 Trillion +.23%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.756 Billion +2.8%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.6 +5.1%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 190.1 +1.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 76.0 +13.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.3 +3.7%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.4 +2.%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 136.4 +2.2%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 87.0 +.2%
- Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 57.8 +11.4%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.4 +2.3%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.44 -.9%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 119.20 -1.3%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.9% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.9% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.95% unch.: CPI YoY +2.41% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 4.47 +63.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.35 +9.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 1.75 +1.0 basis point
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -17.75 -.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 -4.0 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 57.9 +3.7%
- BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 73.0 +.44%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 112.0 -28.5%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 548.7 -2.2%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 275.0 +12.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 65.0 +10.2%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 144.5 +7.4%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 113.0 +6.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 581.0 unch.
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .48 -2.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.3% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,397.0B -.7%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 215,750 -2.2%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 53.7 -3.0%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.11% -3.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 377,500 +11.0%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.8% unch.
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +17.0% +14.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $100.7M -39.7%
- Nationwide Gas $3.32/gallon +.34/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,138.0 -.09%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,958.1/40 ft Box +3.1%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,054.3 +.9%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 300.0 +160.9%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 117.2 +4.4%
- Rail Freight Carloads 278,598 -.7%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,615,896 +19.4%
- Global Monitor Country Instability Index Iran 94.0 +n/a
- Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 92.0% +n/a
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% unch.
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth unch.
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth -3.9%
Leading Sectors
- Software +7.7%
- Energy +5.4%
- Computer Services +5.1%
- Cyber Security +4.4%
- Internet +1.2%
Lagging Sectors
- Construction -8.1%
- Homebuilding -8.3%
- Steel -9.3%
- Gold & Silver -11.6%
- Airlines -14.3%%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (32)
- DAWN, MRVL, TECX, IOT, BATL, AMPX, RCAT, SWBI, AAOI, UAMY, UMAC, GCO, LION, TRDA, JD, KRMN, AGRO, MUSA, WSR, PBR, GWRE, EQNR, CF, SOC, PBR, SOC, EC, VIST, ONDS, NTES, YPF and LNG
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (37)
- PSNY, ECO, JBTM, UAL, DHT, BILI, MTW, DAL, COO, SBLK, TFII, BC, BMA, AERO, SFBS, GNK, LPG, HSHP, LFUS, HUN, GLW, AMPH, PONY, EMBJ, BLK, FWRD, AXTI, VSCO, WAL, JEF, WOLF, GAP and ALOY
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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