Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 6,65.2 -1.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 46,660.0 -1.7%

• NASDAQ 22,155.8 -1.0%

• Russell 2000 2,479.8 -1.8%

• NYSE FANG+ 14,634.2 -1.7%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 256.6 -.1%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 30.6 -.6%

• Wilshire 5000 65,657.0 -1.3%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,422.2 -1.7%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,113.0 -1.2%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 953.6 -.02%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 242.2 -2.2%
  

• NYSE Technology 6,972.5 -.5%

• Transports 17,718.1 -4.0%

• Utilities 1,187.0 +1.7%

• MSCI Europe Banks 108.1 -.9%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 57.1 -.32%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 254.05 -1.44%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 132.41 -1.22%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 600,287 -1.1%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.3 -1.2%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -246 -237

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -20.9 -.6%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 172,150 -.33%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,073,033 -1.4%

• Total Put/Call .84 -13.5%

• OEX Put/Call 1.0 +170.0%

• ISE Sentiment 115.0 -8.9%

• NYSE Arms .78 +9.5%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 98.8 +1.75%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .15 -23.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .92 -33.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 27.3 -7.4%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.38 +49.9%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 26.1 +12.2%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.54 -.2%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.80 -1.6%

• Smart Money Flow Index 20,962.8 +2.1%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  67.0 -12.3

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.818 Trillion +.01%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$11.537 Million

• AAII % Bulls 31.9 -3.6%

• AAII % Bears 46.4 +30.7%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 21.0 (Moved to EXTREME FEAR from FEAR) -7.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 365.0 +8.4%

• Crude Oil 98.3/bbl. +6.1%

• Reformulated Gasoline 303.7 +7.7%

• Natural Gas 3.13 -1.7%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 73.7 USD/Megawatt +1.3% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 50.1 euros/megawatt-hour -5.1%
  

• Heating Oil 399.2 +9.8% 
• Newcastle Coal 138.0 (1,000/metric ton) +.7%

• Gold 5,045.4 -2.3%
• Silver 81.0 -4.1%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 170.9 -.8%

• Copper 574.0 -1.4%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 382.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.1%

• China Iron Ore Spot 105.6 USD/Metric Tonne +2.6%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 23,625.0 USD/metric tonne n/a
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 68.1 -1.2% 

• CME Lumber 599.0 +2.1%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,362.3 +1.3%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 302.0 USD/Short Ton +.2%
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Spot 602.5 +5.7%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 Forecast +2.7% -.3 percentage point

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 25.3 -2.3 percentage points

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.62 +5.7%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 394.2 -14.6% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 90.0 -4.0
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 95.0% +3.0 percentage points

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 306.0 -15.3%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .9 -.4
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(497 of 500 reporting) +13.6% -.1 percentage point

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 325.55 +1.78:  Growth Rate +17.2% +.6 percentage point, P/E 20.5 -.6
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 14.78% +2.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +28.1% unch.
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 525.27 +13.24: Growth Rate +32.0% +.9 percentage points, P/E 28.3 -.5

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 27.2 -2.4 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.3 -15.9 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 37.8 -.2 point

• Fed Fund Futures imply .9%(-2.6 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 99.1%(+2.6 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26

• US Dollar Index 100.3 +1.5%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,853.5 -.09%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 70,993.2 +6.6%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 207.6 -.4%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.74 -1.78%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 55.0 -3.5 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.28% +17.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.53% +12.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.599 Trillion +.28%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.853 Billion +2.0%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.8 +8.7%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 195.7 +2.4%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 81.0 +5.0 basis points
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.1 +11.0%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 48.6 +4.1%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 138.9 +.9%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 80.3 -8.1%
• Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 69.8 +20.5%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.7 +11.1%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.23 -.78%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 119.52 -.73%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% -10.0 basis points
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.9% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% +20.0 basis points
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.9% +10.0 basis points
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.83% -12.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.87% +46.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 4.68 +21.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.38 +3.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 5.5 +3.25 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -18.25 -.5 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 -.25 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.1 +3.6%
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 70.4 -3.2%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 115.0 +2.2%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 543.6 -1.0% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 277.0 +2.0 
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 69.0 +6.2%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 149.8 +2.4%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 121.0 +8.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 588.0 +7.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .49 +1.0 basis point

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.3% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,410.0B +.9%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 212,000 -1.9%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 56.9 +5.9%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.17% +6.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 389,600 +3.2%

• Weekly Retail Sales +6.2.% -60.0 basis points
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +8.0% -9.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $141.9M +41.0%

• Nationwide Gas $3.63/gallon +.31/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 1,972.0 -1.9%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,122.6/40 ft Box +8.4%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,072.2 +1.7%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 325.0 +8.3%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 125.9 +7.4%

• Rail Freight Carloads 283,107 +1.6%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,788,748 +19.3% 
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 44.0% -1.0 percentage point

Best Performing Style

• Large-Cap Value -1.3%.

Worst Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Growth -3.0%

Leading Sectors

• Disk Drives +5.2%

• Alt Energy +4.0%
• Coal +3.5%

• Energy +3.1%
  

• Networking +3.0%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Computer Services -4.9%

• Defense -5.2%
  

• Shipping -5.3%

• Airlines -6.4%
  

• Gold & Silver -6.4%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (21)

• APEI, ORKA, LOCO, KLAR, SSL, AXTI, CIFR, TSEM, SNDK, INMD, AHCO, NBIS, VG, BMNR, OLLI, MU, MUR, WULF ESI, NKTR and KEP

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (59)

• BRKR, JBTM, BEPC, CRM, GRAL, PONY, KMTS, ECAT, HXL, META, ATRO, VVX, LMRI, KMTS, SA, ATRO, TFPM, MT, GDOT, ANDG, OCS, CMCO, RYTM, MIR, GPGI, CNTA, CRS, TECK, INFQ, CVGW, HMY, SIBN, SII, KGC, VIA, AERO, CTGO, PAAS, ADBE, IAG, OII, SBSW, PVLA, BWLP, ZUMZ, SLNO, STOK, TTAN,  PODD, STOK, TTAN, AVO, AU, CACC, OFRM, GFI, ULTA, HNRG, BW and PAR

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change