Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 6,373.2 -5.7%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 47,505.5 -5.0%

• NASDAQ 20,940.9 -3.0%

• Russell 2000 2,452.3 -3.3%

• NYSE FANG+ 13,457.5 -5.1%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 243.0 -2.2%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 27.8 -6.1%

• Wilshire 5000 63,098.1 -1.7%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,162.5 -3.2%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,070.6 -.4%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 920.0 +1.4%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 246.6 -1.4%
  

• NYSE Technology 6,561.5 -4.4%

• Transports 18,197.9 +1.6%

• Utilities 1,151.7 +2.9%

• MSCI Europe Banks 105.7 -4.2%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 55.3 -.9%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 251.3 -.2%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 131.5 -.6%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 596,993 -.3%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 11.9 +3.2%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -402 -60

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -23.5 +6.4%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 218,688 -4.1%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,081,576 +1.5%

• Total Put/Call 1.01 -2.0%

• OEX Put/Call .63 -79.7%

• ISE Sentiment 115.0 -10.9%

• NYSE Arms .74 +7.1%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 100.1 +3.1%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .27 -11.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .85 -40.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 31.3 +15.7%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .70 -62.5%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 34.2 +16.0%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.70 +2.7%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.88 +.9%

• Smart Money Flow Index 19,470.6 -4.9%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  68.5 +8.3

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.803 Trillion -.7%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$6.501 Million

• AAII % Bulls 32.1 +5.6%

• AAII % Bears 49.8 -4.3%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 16.0 (EXTREME FEAR) -1.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 368.9 -.6%

• Crude Oil 99.2/bbl. +8.7%

• Reformulated Gasoline 324.1 +17.6%

• Natural Gas 3.10 -.03%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 76.2 USD/Megawatt +.4% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 54.2 euros/megawatt-hour +2.4%
  

• Heating Oil 447.4 +2.5% 
• Newcastle Coal 144.8 (1,000/metric ton) -1.2%

• Gold 4,508.2 +.7%
• Silver 69.88 +3.6%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 164.8 +2.1%

• Copper 547.6 +3.4%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 391.0 USD/Metric Tonne +2.9%

• China Iron Ore Spot 107.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.1%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 22,850.0 USD/metric tonne -3.3%
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 67.0 -.9%  

• CME Lumber 596.0 -2.5%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,380.5 +.3%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 305.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 687.5 USD/Short Ton +4.2% 

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 Forecast +2.0% -.3 percentage point

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 16.7 -1.8 percentage points

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.9 +8.8%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 335.2 +34.7% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 100.0 unch.
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 95.0% unch.

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 654.1 +30.0%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .7 -.3
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(12 of 500 reporting) +96.5% -7.1 percentage points

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 334.79 +2.36:  Growth Rate +20.6% +.9 percentage point, P/E 19.4 -.5
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 15.07% +10.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+(added MU, eliminated CRWD) Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(1 of 10 reporting) +690.0% unch.
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 788.35 +n/a: Growth Rate +98.1% +n/a percentage points, P/E 17.4 -n/a

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 22.1 -6.1 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -3.9 +4.1 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 47.2 -5.8 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 95.9%(+7.3 percentage points) chance of no change, 4.1%(-8.3 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 4/29

• US Dollar Index 100.2 +.7%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,841.7 +.1%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 65,773.4 -3.6%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 210.1 +.2%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.67 -1.1%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 52.25 +3.0 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.43% +5.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.72% +18.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.610 Trillion +.02%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $5.178 Billion +5.6%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.7 +1.7%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 215.6 +3.0%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 96.0 +5.0 basis points
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.7 +4.1%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 53.6 +2.4%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 142.1 -2.3%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 79.9 -5.2%
• Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 92.1 +3.8%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.2 +5.1%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 23.85 unch.
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 112.89 -.01%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.8% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.9% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.83% unch.: CPI YoY +3.16% +14.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 5.19 -13.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.32 -7.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 5.75 -4.25 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -18.75 unch.

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 -.75 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 67.1 +1.3% 
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 69.4 -1.1%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 168.0 +36.6%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 566.75 +6.5% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 256.0 -3.0 
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 80.3 +3.4%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 199.4 -1.4%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 129.0 +5.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 586.0 +1.0 basis point
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .52 +1.0 basis point

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.9% +60.0 basis points

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,362.5B -2.4%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 210,500 -.1%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.0 -3.4%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.38% +3.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 310,700 -10.5%

• Weekly Retail Sales +6.5% +20.0 basis points
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +7.0% -4.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $127.8M +2.2%

• Nationwide Gas $3.98/gallon +.07/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 2,014.0 -2.0%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,279.2/40 ft Box +4.9%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,120.6 +4.5%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 245.0 -24.6%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 133.7 +1.6%

• Rail Freight Carloads 274,669 -2.1%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,723,798 +9.0% 
• US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 91.2 +.5
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 44.0% -1.0 percentage point

Best Performing Style

• Small-Cap Value +1.9%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -3.3%

Leading Sectors

• Oil Service +8.0%

• Gold & Silver +6.6%
• Energy +6.2%

• Agriculture +3.2%
  

• Steel +3.1%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Gambling -3.8%

• Restaurants -4.2%
  

• Internet -4.8%

• Cyber Security -5.5%
  

• Software -7.3%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (26)

• AGX, OXM, MEOH, ETR, SGML, U, SQM, IPI, GSAT, IPX, BF/B, MRX, WBI, CPB, INR, WPM, EQX, BTU, AZN, YPF, AGRO, WDS, TRIP and CAG

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (49)

• SGI, ISSC, SMTC, DOCU, PUK, FTNT, UPWK, XP, C, COLD, LULU, NEWT, META, KLAR, RRR, PL, HOOD, QDEL, BMNR, MDA, CNXC, VTS, VPG, DOCN, QLYS, CAMT, WGS, ABVX, S, CRWD, WS, PANW, DNLI, EQH, MAZE, CRBG, KNF, ZETA, OUST, UMAC, FIG, TENB, ADPT, ANAB, YOU, INOD, WYFI, BKSY and ZBIO

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change